East West Center's Environmental Change, Vulnerability and Governance Program, Department of Urban & Regional Planning, University of Hawai'i at Manoa, 2424 Maile Way, Honolulu, HI 96822, USA.
J Urban Health. 2013 Apr;90(2):343-57. doi: 10.1007/s11524-012-9719-1.
The literature on development has focused on the concept of transition in understanding the emergent challenges facing poor but rapidly developing countries. Scholars have focused extensively on the health and urban transitions associated with this change and, in particular, its use for understanding emerging infectious diseases. However, few have developed explicit empirical measures to quantify the extent to which a transitions focus is useful for theory, policy, and practice. Using open source data on avian influenza in 2004 and 2005 and the Vietnam Census of Population and Housing, this paper introduces the Kuznets curve as a tool for empirically estimating transition and disease. Findings suggest that the Kuznets curve is a viable tool for empirically assessing the role of transitional dynamics in the emergence of new infectious diseases.
发展文献侧重于理解面临快速发展但仍相对贫困的国家所面临的新兴挑战的转型概念。学者们广泛关注与这种变化相关的健康和城市转型，特别是将其用于理解新出现的传染病。然而，很少有人制定明确的经验措施来量化转型重点在理论、政策和实践中的有用程度。本文利用 2004 年和 2005 年禽流感的开源数据以及越南人口和住房普查数据，引入库兹涅茨曲线作为一种实证估计转型和疾病的工具。研究结果表明，库兹涅茨曲线是一种可行的工具，可用于实证评估转型动态在新传染病出现中的作用。
