Unité d’Epidémiologie des Maladies Emergentes, Bâtiment Laveran 3ème étage, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France.
Emerg Infect Dis. 2012 Nov;18(11):1817-24. doi: 10.3201/eid1811.111761.
Since the end of the 1990s, unexplained outbreaks of acute encephalitis in children coinciding with litchi harvesting (May-July) have been documented in the Bac Giang Province in northern Vietnam. A retrospective ecologic analysis of data for 2004-2009 involving environmental, agronomic, and climatic factors was conducted to investigate the suspected association between the outbreaks and litchi harvesting. The clinical, biological, and immunologic characteristics of the patients suggested a viral etiology. The ecologic study revealed an independent association between litchi plantation surface proportion and acute encephalitis incidence: Incidence rate ratios were 1.52 (95% CI 0.90-2.57), 2.94 (95% CI 1.88-4.60), and 2.76 (95% CI 1.76-4.32) for second, third, and fourth quartiles, respectively, compared with the lowest quartile. This ecologic study confirmed the suspected association between incidence of acute encephalitis and litchi plantations and should be followed by other studies to identify the causative agent for this syndrome.
自 20 世纪 90 年代末以来,越南北部北江省已记录到与荔枝收获(5 月至 7 月)同时发生的不明原因儿童急性脑炎爆发。对 2004 年至 2009 年的数据进行了回顾性生态分析,涉及环境、农业和气候因素,以调查爆发与荔枝收获之间的可疑关联。患者的临床、生物学和免疫学特征表明病因可能是病毒。生态研究显示,荔枝种植面积比例与急性脑炎发病率之间存在独立关联:与最低四分位数相比,第二、第三和第四四分位数的发病率比分别为 1.52(95%CI 0.90-2.57)、2.94(95%CI 1.88-4.60)和 2.76(95%CI 1.76-4.32)。这项生态研究证实了急性脑炎发病率与荔枝种植之间的可疑关联,应进一步开展其他研究以确定该综合征的致病因子。