Suppr超能文献

评估流感疫情和大流行的流行病学影响的新框架。

Novel framework for assessing epidemiologic effects of influenza epidemics and pandemics.

机构信息

Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA 30333, USA.

出版信息

Emerg Infect Dis. 2013 Jan;19(1):85-91. doi: 10.3201/eid1901.120124.

Abstract

The effects of influenza on a population are attributable to the clinical severity of illness and the number of persons infected, which can vary greatly between seasons or pandemics. To create a systematic framework for assessing the public health effects of an emerging pandemic, we reviewed data from past influenza seasons and pandemics to characterize severity and transmissibility (based on ranges of these measures in the United States) and outlined a formal assessment of the potential effects of a novel virus. The assessment was divided into 2 periods. Because early in a pandemic, measurement of severity and transmissibility is uncertain, we used a broad dichotomous scale in the initial assessment to divide the range of historic values. In the refined assessment, as more data became available, we categorized those values more precisely. By organizing and prioritizing data collection, this approach may inform an evidence-based assessment of pandemic effects and guide decision making.

摘要

流感对人群的影响归因于疾病的临床严重程度和感染人数,这在季节或大流行之间可能有很大差异。为了创建一个评估新出现的大流行对公共卫生影响的系统框架,我们回顾了过去流感季节和大流行的数据,以描述严重程度和传染性(基于这些措施在美国的范围),并概述了对新型病毒潜在影响的正式评估。该评估分为两个阶段。由于大流行早期,严重程度和传染性的测量不确定,我们在初始评估中使用了广泛的二分法尺度来划分历史值的范围。在精细化评估中,随着更多数据的出现,我们更精确地对这些值进行分类。通过组织和优先收集数据,这种方法可以为大流行影响的循证评估提供信息,并指导决策。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/66b8/3557974/18cca5ff2d76/12-0124-F1.jpg

相似文献

1
Novel framework for assessing epidemiologic effects of influenza epidemics and pandemics.
Emerg Infect Dis. 2013 Jan;19(1):85-91. doi: 10.3201/eid1901.120124.
2
Comparison of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 and seasonal influenza viral loads, Singapore.
Emerg Infect Dis. 2011 Feb;17(2):287-91. doi: 10.3201/eid1702.100282.
3
[Transmissibility and severity of the pandemic influenza A (H1N1) 2009 virus in Spain].
Gac Sanit. 2011 Jul-Aug;25(4):296-302. doi: 10.1016/j.gaceta.2011.02.008. Epub 2011 May 2.
4
5
Effect of the 2009 influenza A(H1N1) pandemic on invasive pneumococcal pneumonia.
J Infect Dis. 2013 Apr;207(7):1135-43. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jit008. Epub 2013 Jan 9.
6
Timely assessment of the severity of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic.
Clin Infect Dis. 2011 Jan 1;52 Suppl 1:S83-9. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciq013.
7
Epidemiology of the 2009 influenza pandemic in Spain. The Spanish Influenza Surveillance System.
Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin. 2012 Oct;30 Suppl 4:2-9. doi: 10.1016/S0213-005X(12)70098-8.
9
Epidemiology of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) in the United States.
Clin Infect Dis. 2011 Jan 1;52 Suppl 1:S13-26. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciq008.

引用本文的文献

1
In silico prediction of pathogen's pandemic potential using the viral trait assessment for pandemics (ViTAP) model.
PNAS Nexus. 2024 Dec 10;3(12):pgae558. doi: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae558. eCollection 2024 Dec.
3
Risk factors for deaths associated with COVID-19 according to the cause of death classification in Republic of Korea.
Osong Public Health Res Perspect. 2023 Apr;14(2):89-99. doi: 10.24171/j.phrp.2022.0312. Epub 2023 Apr 18.
4
The Impact of the First and Second Waves of COVID-19 Pandemic in Nigeria.
Geohealth. 2023 Mar 21;7(3):e2022GH000722. doi: 10.1029/2022GH000722. eCollection 2023 Mar.
6
Missing science: A scoping study of COVID-19 epidemiological data in the United States.
PLoS One. 2022 Oct 12;17(10):e0248793. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0248793. eCollection 2022.
7
Paninvasion severity assessment of a U.S. grape pest to disrupt the global wine market.
Commun Biol. 2022 Jul 4;5(1):655. doi: 10.1038/s42003-022-03580-w.
8
Community Hospital Response to COVID-19 Outbreak.
West J Emerg Med. 2022 Jan 17;23(2):129-133. doi: 10.5811/westjem.2021.9.52294.
10
COVID-19 severity determinants inferred through ecological and epidemiological modeling.
One Health. 2021 Dec;13:100355. doi: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2021.100355. Epub 2021 Nov 27.

本文引用的文献

1
Transmission parameters of the A/H1N1 (2009) influenza virus pandemic: a review.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2011 Sep;5(5):306-16. doi: 10.1111/j.1750-2659.2011.00234.x. Epub 2011 Mar 31.
2
Estimating the burden of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) in the United States (April 2009-April 2010).
Clin Infect Dis. 2011 Jan 1;52 Suppl 1:S75-82. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciq012.
3
5
Household transmission of pandemic (H1N1) 2009, San Antonio, Texas, USA, April-May 2009.
Emerg Infect Dis. 2010 Apr;16(4):631-7. doi: 10.3201/eid1604.091658.
7
Household transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus in the United States.
N Engl J Med. 2009 Dec 31;361(27):2619-27. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa0905498.
8
The severity of pandemic H1N1 influenza in the United States, from April to July 2009: a Bayesian analysis.
PLoS Med. 2009 Dec;6(12):e1000207. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1000207. Epub 2009 Dec 8.
9
Estimates of the prevalence of pandemic (H1N1) 2009, United States, April-July 2009.
Emerg Infect Dis. 2009 Dec;15(12):2004-7. doi: 10.3201/eid1512.091413.
10
Assessing the severity of the novel influenza A/H1N1 pandemic.
BMJ. 2009 Jul 14;339:b2840. doi: 10.1136/bmj.b2840.

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验