Peters R K, Pike M C, Chang W W, Mack T M
Department of Preventive Medicine, University of Southern California School of Medicine, Los Angeles 90033.
Br J Cancer. 1990 May;61(5):741-8. doi: 10.1038/bjc.1990.166.
In Los Angeles County, the age-adjusted incidence rate of colon cancer in men is almost 30% higher than that in women; however, in the descending and sigmoid colon, age-specific incidence rates for women are higher than those for men before age 55. Since menstrual and/or reproductive factors may be involved in producing this crossover in age-specific rates, they were examined in a population-based case-control study involving 327 white women with adenocarcinoma of the colon and age-, race- and neighbourhood-matched controls. After adjustment for other factors associated with colon cancer in this study (family history of large bowel cancer, total fat intake, calcium, weight and activity level), ever having been pregnant was protective (RR = 0.56, 95% CI = 0.33-0.97). For one to two pregnancies, the RR was 0.76 (CI = 0.42-1.37); for three or more pregnancies, the RR was 0.45 (CI = 0.25-0.81). However, the relationship between the number of pregnancies and colon cancer risk was actually U-shaped, with risk decreasing with successive pregnancies up to four and then increasing with additional pregnancies. The U-shaped relationship was present for incomplete as well as for full-term pregnancies and was more striking for cancers occurring in the distal (descending and sigmoid) than proximal (caecum to splenic flexure) colon. Risk was not related to age at menarche or use of exogenous oestrogens, but delayed natural menopause was weakly protective in the proximal but not distal colon. The crossover in incidence rates in the distal colon can be completely accounted for by the pregnancy effect. The U-shape of the pregnancy curve suggests the possibility of competing factors, some protective, especially after one or several pregnancies, and others conferring increasing risk with successive pregnancies, regardless of the pregnancy outcome.
在洛杉矶县,男性结肠癌的年龄调整发病率比女性高近30%;然而,在降结肠和乙状结肠,55岁之前女性的年龄别发病率高于男性。由于月经和/或生殖因素可能与这种年龄别发病率的交叉现象有关,因此在一项基于人群的病例对照研究中对其进行了检查,该研究涉及327名患有结肠腺癌的白人女性以及年龄、种族和邻里匹配的对照。在对本研究中与结肠癌相关的其他因素(大肠癌家族史、总脂肪摄入量、钙、体重和活动水平)进行调整后,曾经怀孕具有保护作用(相对危险度=0.56,95%可信区间=0.33 - 0.97)。怀孕一到两次,相对危险度为0.76(可信区间=0.42 - 1.37);怀孕三次或更多次,相对危险度为0.45(可信区间=0.25 - 0.81)。然而,怀孕次数与结肠癌风险之间的关系实际上呈U形,随着怀孕次数增加至四次,风险降低,然后随着怀孕次数进一步增加而升高。无论是未足月怀孕还是足月怀孕,U形关系均存在,并且对于发生在远端(降结肠和乙状结肠)而非近端(盲肠至脾曲)结肠的癌症更为明显。风险与初潮年龄或外源性雌激素的使用无关,但自然绝经延迟在近端结肠有较弱的保护作用,在远端结肠则没有。远端结肠发病率的交叉现象可完全由怀孕效应解释。怀孕曲线的U形表明存在竞争因素的可能性,一些因素具有保护作用,尤其是在一次或几次怀孕后,而其他因素则随着怀孕次数的增加而增加风险,无论怀孕结局如何。