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根据2012年韩国夏季患者特征探讨温度对与热相关疾病的影响。

The effects of temperature on heat-related illness according to the characteristics of patients during the summer of 2012 in the Republic of Korea.

作者信息

Na Wonwoong, Jang Jae-Yeon, Lee Kyung Eun, Kim Hyunyoung, Jun Byungyool, Kwon Jun-Wook, Jo Soo-Nam

机构信息

Department of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Ajou University School of Medicine, Suwon, Korea.

出版信息

J Prev Med Public Health. 2013 Jan;46(1):19-27. doi: 10.3961/jpmph.2013.46.1.19. Epub 2013 Jan 31.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

This study was conducted to investigate the relationship between heat-related illnesses developed in the summer of 2012 and temperature.

METHODS

The study analyzed data generated by a heat wave surveillance system operated by the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention during the summer of 2012. The daily maximum temperature, average temperature, and maximum heat index were compared to identify the most suitable index for this study. A piecewise linear model was used to identify the threshold temperature and the relative risk (RR) above the threshold temperature according to patient characteristics and region.

RESULTS

The total number of patients during the 3 months was 975. Of the three temperature indicators, the daily maximum temperature showed the best goodness of fit with the model. The RR of the total patient incidence was 1.691 (1.641 to 1.743) per 1℃ after 31.2℃. The RR above the threshold temperature of women (1.822, 1.716 to 1.934) was greater than that of men (1.643, 1.587 to 1.701). The threshold temperature was the lowest in the age group of 20 to 64 (30.4℃), and the RR was the highest in the ≥65 age group (1.863, 1.755 to 1.978). The threshold temperature of the provinces (30.5℃) was lower than that of the metropolitan cities (32.2℃). Metropolitan cities at higher latitudes had a greater RR than other cities at lower latitudes.

CONCLUSIONS

The influences of temperature on heat-related illnesses vary according to gender, age, and region. A surveillance system and public health program should reflect these factors in their implementation.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在调查2012年夏季发生的与热相关疾病和温度之间的关系。

方法

该研究分析了韩国疾病控制与预防中心在2012年夏季运行的热浪监测系统生成的数据。比较了每日最高温度、平均温度和最高热指数,以确定本研究最合适的指标。采用分段线性模型根据患者特征和地区确定阈值温度以及高于阈值温度的相对风险(RR)。

结果

3个月期间患者总数为975人。在三个温度指标中,每日最高温度与模型的拟合度最佳。31.2℃之后,总患者发病率的RR为每1℃1.691(1.641至1.743)。高于阈值温度时,女性的RR(1.822,1.716至1.934)大于男性(1.643,1.587至1.701)。阈值温度在20至64岁年龄组中最低(30.4℃),RR在≥65岁年龄组中最高(1.863,1.755至1.978)。各省份的阈值温度(30.5℃)低于大城市(32.2℃)。纬度较高的大城市的RR高于其他纬度较低的城市。

结论

温度对与热相关疾病的影响因性别、年龄和地区而异。监测系统和公共卫生计划在实施过程中应考虑这些因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de17/3567322/8941af89a017/jpmph-46-19-g001.jpg

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