Ferrari G, Tasciotti L, Khan E, Kiani A
Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of United Nations, Via Terme di Caracalla, Rome, Italy.
Transbound Emerg Dis. 2014 Dec;61(6):e52-9. doi: 10.1111/tbed.12072. Epub 2013 Mar 11.
A longitudinal study has been conducted in the provinces of Sindh, Punjab and Islamabad Capital Territory area, Pakistan, to evaluate the impact of foot-and-mouth disease on milk yield in a sample of farmers owning cattle and buffaloes. The sample consisted of 50 farms where the presence of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) virus was initially suspected on the basis of clinical signs and subsequently confirmed through either a field test or laboratory confirmation. In each farm, the total number of clinical cases was registered, and clinically diseased milking cattle and buffaloes were followed up for the next 60 days from the onset of clinical signs and the amount of milk yield measured. The average milk yield, estimated to be around 10 l per animal before the onset of FMD, decreased significantly in the 2 months following the onset of acute clinical disease. The loss of milk production in the 60 days following the onset of clinical signs was estimated to be around 220 and 201 l for cattle and buffaloes, respectively. Under the assumption that the administration of a good-quality vaccine matching circulating FMD strains could protect against clinical disease, the benefit/cost ratio for having all animals vaccinated in all 50 farms was estimated to be 5.7.
在巴基斯坦的信德省、旁遮普省和伊斯兰堡首都地区开展了一项纵向研究,以评估口蹄疫对拥有牛和水牛的农民样本中牛奶产量的影响。该样本由50个农场组成,这些农场最初根据临床症状怀疑存在口蹄疫(FMD)病毒,随后通过现场检测或实验室确认得以证实。在每个农场,记录临床病例总数,并对临床患病的奶牛和水牛从临床症状出现之日起进行为期60天的跟踪,同时测量牛奶产量。估计在口蹄疫发病前每头动物的平均产奶量约为10升,在急性临床疾病发作后的2个月内显著下降。临床症状出现后的60天内,奶牛和水牛的产奶量损失估计分别约为220升和201升。假设接种与流行的口蹄疫毒株匹配的优质疫苗可以预防临床疾病,那么在所有50个农场给所有动物接种疫苗的效益/成本比估计为5.7。