Data Analysis, Informatics, Technical University of Denmark, Building 324, DK-2800 Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark.
Prev Vet Med. 2013 Aug 1;111(1-2):100-11. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2013.04.004. Epub 2013 May 21.
For more than a decade human campylobacteriosis has been the leading zoonosis in many developed countries. Consumption of poultry or poultry products has been identified as the primary source of infection in humans. This study was conducted to identify risk factors for the occurrence of Campylobacter in Danish broiler flocks. The study was based on a large data set consisting of Campylobacter positive status for nearly 6000 broiler flocks and 43 explanatory variables. Data were obtained from the Danish Campylobacter surveillance programme in poultry and from the responses to a standardized questionnaire answered via interviews with broiler farm owners. Two hundred and forty broiler farms, comprising 539 broiler houses, were included in the study and their Campylobacter status was followed over a 2-year period (1999-2000). The large number of observations made it possible to carry out a multivariate analysis including all 43 variables. A multivariate analysis was conducted using a generalized linear model, and the correlations between the houses from the same farms were accounted for by adding a variance structure to the model. The procedures for analyses included backward elimination, forward selection and expanding of the number of observations used in the variance analysis along with the reduction of the number of parameters in the model. The unit of analysis was 'broiler house', meaning that all results from a broiler house were aggregated into one prevalence figure (number of positive flocks/total number of flocks delivered over the 2-year period). The following factors were found to be significantly associated with the occurrence of Campylobacter in the broiler flocks: old broiler houses, late introduction of whole wheat in the feed, relatively high broiler age at slaughter, improper rodent control, large number of chimneys on the broiler house, farm located in an area with a high density of cattle farms, having more than one broiler house on the farm, and improper storage of wheat. This large-scale study confirms several risk factors identified in previous studies. The results concerning chimneys may be explained by the easier access that flies have to the broiler houses, which seems in agreement with recent Danish studies on the significance of fly-screens to reduce Campylobacter in broiler flocks. The results of this study may be used in identification of effective interventions aimed at controlling Campylobacter in Danish broiler flocks.
十多年来,人类弯曲菌病一直是许多发达国家的主要人畜共患病。人类感染的主要来源是食用家禽或家禽产品。本研究旨在确定丹麦肉鸡群中弯曲菌发生的危险因素。该研究基于一个包含近 6000 个肉鸡群和 43 个解释变量的大型数据集。数据来自丹麦家禽弯曲菌监测计划以及通过对肉鸡农场主进行访谈回答的标准化问卷。研究纳入了 240 个肉鸡农场,共 539 个肉鸡舍,在 2 年期间(1999-2000 年)对其弯曲菌状态进行了跟踪。由于观察数量众多,因此可以进行包括所有 43 个变量的多变量分析。使用广义线性模型进行了多变量分析,并通过向模型中添加方差结构来考虑来自同一农场的房屋之间的相关性。分析过程包括向后消除、向前选择和增加方差分析中使用的观察次数,以及减少模型中的参数数量。分析的单位是“肉鸡舍”,这意味着肉鸡舍的所有结果都汇总为一个流行率(阳性鸡舍数量/两年内交付的鸡舍总数)。以下因素与肉鸡群中弯曲菌的发生显著相关:旧肉鸡舍、饲料中添加全麦的时间较晚、屠宰时肉鸡年龄相对较高、啮齿动物控制不当、肉鸡舍上的烟囱数量较多、农场位于牛场密度较高的地区、农场有多个肉鸡舍、以及小麦储存不当。这项大规模研究证实了之前研究中确定的几个危险因素。关于烟囱的结果可以通过苍蝇更容易进入肉鸡舍来解释,这似乎与丹麦最近关于蝇网对减少肉鸡群中弯曲菌的重要性的研究一致。本研究的结果可用于确定针对丹麦肉鸡群中弯曲菌的有效干预措施。