School of Medicine, The University of São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil and LIM01 HC-FMUSP.
Epidemiol Infect. 2014 Mar;142(3):625-33. doi: 10.1017/S0950268813001350. Epub 2013 Jun 5.
Human behaviours, which are influenced by social, cultural, economic and political factors, can increase or decrease the risk of dengue infection, depending on the relationship with the insect vector. Because no vaccine is currently available, the spread of dengue can only be curtailed by controlling vector populations (Aedes aegypti and others) and by protecting individuals. This study tested the hypothesis that dengue-affected populations are likely to relax their vector-control habits if a potentially protective vaccine becomes available. The hypothesis was tested using two approaches: a mathematical model designed to describe dengue transmission and an empirical field test in which the local population of an endemic area was interviewed about their vector-control habits given the presence of a theoretical vaccine. The model demonstrated that depending on the level of vector-control reduction, there is a threshold in vaccine efficacy below which it is better not to introduce the vaccine. The interview showed that people who were informed that a very effective vaccine is available would reduce their vector-control habits significantly compared to a group that was informed that the vaccine is not very effective.
人类行为受到社会、文化、经济和政治因素的影响,这些因素可能会增加或降低登革热感染的风险,具体取决于与蚊虫媒介的关系。由于目前尚无疫苗,因此只能通过控制蚊虫种群(埃及伊蚊和其他蚊虫)和保护个人来减少登革热的传播。本研究检验了以下假设:如果有了一种潜在的保护性疫苗,那么受登革热影响的人群可能会放松其蚊虫控制习惯。该假设通过两种方法进行了检验:一是旨在描述登革热传播的数学模型,二是在流行地区进行的实地试验,根据理论疫苗的存在,对当地居民的蚊虫控制习惯进行了访谈。该模型表明,根据蚊虫控制减少的程度,疫苗效果存在一个阈值,低于该阈值,最好不要引入疫苗。访谈显示,与被告知疫苗效果不是很好的人群相比,得知有非常有效的疫苗可用的人群会显著减少其蚊虫控制习惯。