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单纯疱疹病毒 2 型的横断面血清流行率以及队列中马拉维农村女性青少年新生儿感染的估计率。

Herpes simplex virus type 2 cross-sectional seroprevalence and the estimated rate of neonatal infections among a cohort of rural Malawian female adolescents.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, , Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

出版信息

Sex Transm Infect. 2013 Nov;89(7):561-7. doi: 10.1136/sextrans-2012-050869. Epub 2013 Jun 21.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To assess herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) seroprevalence among rural Malawian adolescent women and estimate the number of neonatal herpes infections among infants of these adolescents.

METHODS

A longitudinal cohort study of adolescents (14-16 years at entry) residing in rural Malawi was initiated in 2007 with annual observation. HSV-2 testing was introduced in 2010. In this study, we (1) determined, using cross-sectional analysis, risk factors for positive serostatus, (2) adjusted for non-response bias with imputation methods and (3) estimated the incidence of neonatal herpes infection using mathematical models.

RESULTS

A total of 1195 female adolescents (age 17-20 years) were interviewed in 2010, with an observed HSV-2 seroprevalence of 15.2% among the 955 women tested. From a multivariate analysis, risk factors for HSV-2 seropositivity include older age (p=0.037), moving from the baseline village (p=0.020) and report of sexual activity with increasing number of partners (p<0.021). Adjusting for non-response bias, the estimated HSV-2 seroprevalence among the total female cohort (composed of all women interviewed in 2007) was 18.0% (95% CI 16.0% to 20.2%). HSV-2 seropositivity was estimated to be 25.6% (95% CI 19.6% to 32.5%) for women who refused to provide a blood sample. The estimated number of neonatal herpes infections among the total female cohort was 71.8 (95% CI 57.3 to 86.3) per 100 000 live births.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of HSV-2 seroconversion is high during adolescence, when childbearing is beginning, among rural Malawian women. Research on interventions to reduce horizontal and vertical HSV-2 transmission during adolescence in resource-limited settings is needed.

摘要

目的

评估马拉维农村青少年女性二型单纯疱疹病毒(HSV-2)血清流行率,并估计这些青少年婴儿中新生儿疱疹感染的数量。

方法

2007 年启动了一项针对居住在马拉维农村的青少年(入组时 14-16 岁)的纵向队列研究,每年进行观察。2010 年引入 HSV-2 检测。在这项研究中,我们(1)通过横断面分析确定阳性血清状态的危险因素,(2)使用插补方法调整无应答偏倚,(3)使用数学模型估计新生儿疱疹感染的发病率。

结果

共有 1195 名女性青少年(17-20 岁)于 2010 年接受访谈,在 955 名接受检测的女性中,观察到 HSV-2 血清流行率为 15.2%。多变量分析表明,HSV-2 血清阳性的危险因素包括年龄较大(p=0.037)、从基线村庄搬迁(p=0.020)和报告性行为次数增加,性伴侣数量增加(p<0.021)。调整无应答偏倚后,总女性队列(由 2007 年所有接受访谈的女性组成)的 HSV-2 血清流行率估计为 18.0%(95%CI 16.0%至 20.2%)。拒绝提供血样的女性 HSV-2 血清阳性率估计为 25.6%(95%CI 19.6%至 32.5%)。总女性队列中新生儿疱疹感染的估计数量为每 100000 例活产 71.8 例(95%CI 57.3 至 86.3)。

结论

在马拉维农村地区,青少年开始生育的时期,HSV-2 血清转换的风险很高。需要在资源有限的环境中研究减少青少年水平和垂直 HSV-2 传播的干预措施。

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