Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, , Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Sex Transm Infect. 2013 Nov;89(7):561-7. doi: 10.1136/sextrans-2012-050869. Epub 2013 Jun 21.
To assess herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) seroprevalence among rural Malawian adolescent women and estimate the number of neonatal herpes infections among infants of these adolescents.
A longitudinal cohort study of adolescents (14-16 years at entry) residing in rural Malawi was initiated in 2007 with annual observation. HSV-2 testing was introduced in 2010. In this study, we (1) determined, using cross-sectional analysis, risk factors for positive serostatus, (2) adjusted for non-response bias with imputation methods and (3) estimated the incidence of neonatal herpes infection using mathematical models.
A total of 1195 female adolescents (age 17-20 years) were interviewed in 2010, with an observed HSV-2 seroprevalence of 15.2% among the 955 women tested. From a multivariate analysis, risk factors for HSV-2 seropositivity include older age (p=0.037), moving from the baseline village (p=0.020) and report of sexual activity with increasing number of partners (p<0.021). Adjusting for non-response bias, the estimated HSV-2 seroprevalence among the total female cohort (composed of all women interviewed in 2007) was 18.0% (95% CI 16.0% to 20.2%). HSV-2 seropositivity was estimated to be 25.6% (95% CI 19.6% to 32.5%) for women who refused to provide a blood sample. The estimated number of neonatal herpes infections among the total female cohort was 71.8 (95% CI 57.3 to 86.3) per 100 000 live births.
The risk of HSV-2 seroconversion is high during adolescence, when childbearing is beginning, among rural Malawian women. Research on interventions to reduce horizontal and vertical HSV-2 transmission during adolescence in resource-limited settings is needed.
评估马拉维农村青少年女性二型单纯疱疹病毒(HSV-2)血清流行率,并估计这些青少年婴儿中新生儿疱疹感染的数量。
2007 年启动了一项针对居住在马拉维农村的青少年(入组时 14-16 岁)的纵向队列研究,每年进行观察。2010 年引入 HSV-2 检测。在这项研究中,我们(1)通过横断面分析确定阳性血清状态的危险因素,(2)使用插补方法调整无应答偏倚,(3)使用数学模型估计新生儿疱疹感染的发病率。
共有 1195 名女性青少年(17-20 岁)于 2010 年接受访谈,在 955 名接受检测的女性中,观察到 HSV-2 血清流行率为 15.2%。多变量分析表明,HSV-2 血清阳性的危险因素包括年龄较大(p=0.037)、从基线村庄搬迁(p=0.020)和报告性行为次数增加,性伴侣数量增加(p<0.021)。调整无应答偏倚后,总女性队列(由 2007 年所有接受访谈的女性组成)的 HSV-2 血清流行率估计为 18.0%(95%CI 16.0%至 20.2%)。拒绝提供血样的女性 HSV-2 血清阳性率估计为 25.6%(95%CI 19.6%至 32.5%)。总女性队列中新生儿疱疹感染的估计数量为每 100000 例活产 71.8 例(95%CI 57.3 至 86.3)。
在马拉维农村地区,青少年开始生育的时期,HSV-2 血清转换的风险很高。需要在资源有限的环境中研究减少青少年水平和垂直 HSV-2 传播的干预措施。