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轮班工作与癌症研究:对过去潜在的生物钟学谬误及未来流行病学研究前景的思想实验

Shift work and cancer research: a thought experiment into a potential chronobiological fallacy of past and perspectives for future epidemiological studies.

作者信息

Erren Thomas C, Morfeld Peter

机构信息

Institute and Policlinic for Occupational and Social Medicine, Environmental Medicine and Prevention Research, UNIKLINIK KÖLN, University of Cologne, Lindenthal, Germany.

出版信息

Neuro Endocrinol Lett. 2013;34(4):282-6.

PMID:23803873
Abstract

With their 2007 classification - shift work involving "circadian disruption" is probably carcinogenic to humans (Group 2A) - the International Agency for Research on Cancer [IARC] provided a riddle for scientists and the public alike. Thereafter, eighteen epidemiological investigations into shift work and a host of malignant endpoints (including cancers of the breast, prostate, lung, colon, rectum, pancreas, bladder, skin and non-Hodgkin lymphoma [NHL]) as well as mortality were published. Although IARC experts identified "circadian disruption" as the critical link in the "probable" chains of cancer causation, almost none of the post-IARC studies specifically considered a disturbed temporal organization of biology. This implies that epidemiological research to-date is less focused than it should be. To illustrate a potential chronobiological fallacy of past studies, we offer a thought experiment. In addition, we consider first empirical evidence from recent research which avoided such bias. Methodological perspectives for future chronobiology-driven epidemiological research are outlined.

摘要

国际癌症研究机构(IARC)在其2007年的分类中指出——涉及“昼夜节律紊乱”的轮班工作可能对人类致癌(2A组)——这给科学家和公众都带来了一个谜题。此后,发表了18项关于轮班工作与一系列恶性终点(包括乳腺癌、前列腺癌、肺癌、结肠癌、直肠癌、胰腺癌、膀胱癌、皮肤癌和非霍奇金淋巴瘤[NHL])以及死亡率的流行病学调查。尽管IARC专家将“昼夜节律紊乱”确定为癌症因果关系“可能”链条中的关键环节,但几乎没有一项IARC之后的研究专门考虑生物时间组织的紊乱。这意味着迄今为止的流行病学研究关注程度不够。为了说明过去研究中可能存在的生物钟学谬误,我们提供一个思维实验。此外,我们首先考虑近期研究中避免了此类偏差的实证证据。概述了未来由生物钟学驱动的流行病学研究的方法论观点。

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