Department of Sociology, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907, USA.
Pediatrics. 2013 Sep;132(3):e568-77. doi: 10.1542/peds.2013-0067. Epub 2013 Aug 5.
Using longitudinal data from the multigenerational Youth Development Study (YDS), this article documents how parents' long-term smoking trajectories are associated with adolescent children's likelihood of smoking. Prospective data from the parents (from age 14-38 years) enable unique comparisons of the parents' and children's smoking behavior, as well as that of siblings.
Smoking trajectories are constructed using latent class analysis for the original YDS cohort (n = 1010). Multigenerational longitudinal data from 214 parents and 314 offspring ages 11 years and older are then analyzed by using logistic regression with cluster-corrected SEs.
Four latent smoking trajectories emerged among the original cohort: stable nonsmokers (54%), early-onset light smokers who quit/reduce (16%), late-onset persistent smokers (14%), and early-onset persistent heavy smokers (16%). Although 8% of children of stable nonsmokers smoked in the last year, the other groups' children had much higher percentages, ranging from 23% to 29%. Multivariate logistic regression models confirm that these significant differences were robust to the inclusion of myriad child- and parent-level measures (for which child age and grade point average [GPA] are significant predictors). Older sibling smoking, however, mediated the link between parental heavy smoking and child smoking.
Even in an era of declining rates of teenage cigarette use in the United States, children of current and former smokers face an elevated risk of smoking. Prevention efforts to weaken intergenerational associations should consider parents' long-term cigarette use, as well as the smoking behavior of older siblings in the household.
利用多代青少年发展研究(YDS)的纵向数据,本文记录了父母长期吸烟轨迹与青少年子女吸烟可能性之间的关系。来自父母(14-38 岁)的前瞻性数据使父母和子女的吸烟行为以及兄弟姐妹的吸烟行为能够进行独特的比较。
使用潜在类别分析为原始 YDS 队列(n=1010)构建吸烟轨迹。然后,使用具有聚类校正 SE 的逻辑回归分析来自 214 名父母和 314 名 11 岁及以上子女的多代纵向数据。
原始队列中出现了四种潜在的吸烟轨迹:稳定的不吸烟者(54%)、早期开始吸烟且戒烟/减少的轻度吸烟者(16%)、晚期开始持续吸烟的吸烟者(14%)和早期开始持续重度吸烟者(16%)。尽管 8%的稳定不吸烟者的子女在过去一年中吸烟,但其他组的子女吸烟比例更高,范围从 23%到 29%。多变量逻辑回归模型证实,这些显著差异在纳入无数儿童和父母水平的措施后仍然稳健(其中儿童年龄和平均绩点[GPA]是显著的预测因素)。然而,年长兄弟姐妹的吸烟行为中介了父母重度吸烟与子女吸烟之间的联系。
即使在美国青少年吸烟率下降的时代,当前和前吸烟者的子女吸烟的风险仍然较高。为了削弱代际关联,预防工作应考虑父母长期吸烟,以及家庭中年长兄弟姐妹的吸烟行为。