Rossow H, Ollgren J, Klemets P, Pietarinen I, Saikku J, Pekkanen E, Nikkari S, Syrjälä H, Kuusi M, Nuorti J P
Department of Veterinary Biosciences, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine,University of Helsinki,Helsinki,Finland.
Department of Infectious Disease Surveillance and Control,National Institute for Health and Welfare (THL),Helsinki,Finland.
Epidemiol Infect. 2014 Oct;142(10):2207-16. doi: 10.1017/S0950268813002999. Epub 2013 Dec 2.
Few population-based data are available on factors associated with pneumonic and ulceroglandular type B tularaemia. We conducted a case-control study during a large epidemic in 2000. Laboratory-confirmed case patients were identified through active surveillance and matched control subjects (age, sex, residency) from the national population information system. Data were collected using a self-administered questionnaire. A conditional logistic regression model addressing missing data with Bayesian full-likelihood modelling included 227 case patients and 415 control subjects; reported mosquito bites [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 9·2, 95% confidence interval (CI) 4·4-22, population-attributable risk (PAR) 82%] and farming activities (aOR 4·3, 95% CI 2·5-7·2, PAR 32%) were independently associated with ulceroglandular tularaemia, whereas exposure to hay dust (aOR 6·6, 95% CI 1·9-25·4, PAR 48%) was associated with pneumonic tularaemia. Although the bulk of tularaemia type B disease burden is attributable to mosquito bites, risk factors for ulceroglandular and pneumonic forms of tularaemia are different, enabling targeting of prevention efforts accordingly.
关于与肺型和溃疡腺型B型兔热病相关因素的基于人群的数据很少。我们在2000年的一次大流行期间进行了一项病例对照研究。通过主动监测确定实验室确诊的病例患者,并从国家人口信息系统中匹配对照对象(年龄、性别、居住地)。使用自填式问卷收集数据。一个采用贝叶斯全似然模型处理缺失数据的条件逻辑回归模型纳入了227例病例患者和415例对照对象;报告的蚊虫叮咬(调整后的优势比[aOR]为9·2,95%置信区间[CI]为4·4 - 22,人群归因风险[PAR]为82%)和农业活动(aOR为4·3,95%CI为2·5 - 7·2,PAR为32%)与溃疡腺型兔热病独立相关,而接触干草粉尘(aOR为6·6,95%CI为1·9 - 25·4,PAR为48%)与肺型兔热病相关。尽管大部分B型兔热病的疾病负担归因于蚊虫叮咬,但溃疡腺型和肺型兔热病的危险因素不同,因此能够据此针对性地开展预防工作。