Menon Veena, Gold Elizabeth, Godbole Ramona, Castor Delivette, Mahler Hally, Forsythe Steven, Ally Mariam, Njeuhmeli Emmanuel
HPI Costing Task Order, Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America; Futures Group, Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America.
Maternal and Child Health Integrated Program Jhpiego, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2014 May 6;9(5):e83925. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0083925. eCollection 2014.
BACKGROUND: Given the proven effectiveness of voluntary medical male circumcision (VMMC) in preventing the spread of HIV, Tanzania is scaling up VMMC as an HIV prevention strategy. This study will inform policymakers about the potential costs and benefits of scaling up VMMC services in Tanzania. METHODOLOGY: The analysis first assessed the unit costs of delivering VMMC at the facility level in three regions-Iringa, Kagera, and Mbeya-via three currently used VMMC service delivery models (routine, campaign, and mobile/island outreach). Subsequently, using these unit cost data estimates, the study used the Decision Makers' Program Planning Tool (DMPPT) to estimate the costs and impact of a scaled-up VMMC program. RESULTS: Increasing VMMC could substantially reduce HIV infection. Scaling up adult VMMC to reach 87.9% coverage by 2015 would avert nearly 23,000 new adult HIV infections through 2015 and an additional 167,500 from 2016 through 2025-at an additional cost of US$253.7 million through 2015 and US$302.3 million from 2016 through 2025. Average cost per HIV infection averted would be US$11,300 during 2010-2015 and US$3,200 during 2010-2025. Scaling up VMMC in Tanzania will yield significant net benefits (benefits of treatment costs averted minus the cost of performing circumcisions) in the long run-around US$4,200 in net benefits for each infection averted. CONCLUSION: VMMC could have an immediate impact on HIV transmission, but the full impact on prevalence and deaths will only be apparent in the longer term because VMMC averts infections some years into the future among people who have been circumcised. Given the health and economic benefits of investing in VMMC, the scale-up of services should continue to be a central component of the national HIV prevention strategy in Tanzania.
背景:鉴于自愿男性医学包皮环切术(VMMC)在预防艾滋病毒传播方面已被证实有效,坦桑尼亚正在扩大VMMC作为一项艾滋病毒预防策略。本研究将为政策制定者提供有关在坦桑尼亚扩大VMMC服务的潜在成本和收益的信息。 方法:该分析首先通过三种目前使用的VMMC服务提供模式(常规、运动和流动/岛屿外展)评估了在伊林加、卡盖拉和姆贝亚三个地区的设施层面提供VMMC的单位成本。随后,利用这些单位成本数据估计,该研究使用决策者项目规划工具(DMPPT)来估计扩大的VMMC项目的成本和影响。 结果:增加VMMC可大幅减少艾滋病毒感染。到2015年将成人VMMC扩大到87.9%的覆盖率,到2015年将避免近23000例新的成人艾滋病毒感染,从2016年到2025年还将额外避免167500例——到2015年额外成本为2.537亿美元,从2016年到2025年为3.023亿美元。2010 - 2015年期间每避免一例艾滋病毒感染的平均成本将为11300美元,2010 - 2025年期间为3200美元。从长远来看,在坦桑尼亚扩大VMMC将产生显著的净收益(避免的治疗成本收益减去进行包皮环切术的成本)——每避免一例感染的净收益约为4200美元。 结论:VMMC可能会对艾滋病毒传播产生直接影响,但对患病率和死亡的全面影响只有在更长时间内才会显现,因为VMMC会在未来几年避免已接受包皮环切术的人群感染。鉴于投资VMMC带来的健康和经济效益,扩大服务规模应继续是坦桑尼亚国家艾滋病毒预防战略的核心组成部分。
BMC Health Serv Res. 2025-7-1
EClinicalMedicine. 2019-5-20
PLoS One. 2018-8-15
BMC Public Health. 2017-11-7