Ackerman Frank, Whited Melissa, Knight Patrick
Int J Occup Environ Health. 2014 Jan-Mar;20(1):61-70. doi: 10.1179/2049396713Y.0000000054.
Atrazine, an herbicide used on most of the US corn (maize) crop, is the subject of ongoing controversy, with increasing documentation of its potentially harmful health and environmental impacts. Supporters of atrazine often claim that it is of great value to farmers; most recently, Syngenta, the producer of atrazine, sponsored an "Atrazine Benefits Team" (ABT) of researchers who released a set of five papers in 2011, reporting huge economic benefits from atrazine use in US agriculture. A critical review of the ABT papers shows that they have underestimated the growing problem of atrazine-resistant weeds, offered only a partial review of the effectiveness of alternative herbicides, and ignored the promising option of nonchemical weed management techniques. In addition, the most complete economic analysis in the ABT papers implies that withdrawal of atrazine would lead to a decrease in corn yields of 4.4% and an increase in corn prices of 8.0%. The result would be an increase in corn growers' revenues, equal to US$1.7 billion annually under ABT assumptions. Price impacts on consumers would be minimal: at current levels of ethanol production and use, gasoline prices would rise by no more than US$0.03 per gallon; beef prices would rise by an estimated US$0.01 for a 4-ounce hamburger and US$0.05 for an 8-ounce steak. Thus withdrawal of atrazine would boost farm revenues, while only changing consumer prices by pennies.
阿特拉津是一种用于美国大部分玉米作物的除草剂,目前正处于争议之中,越来越多的文献证明了其对健康和环境的潜在危害。阿特拉津的支持者常常声称它对农民具有巨大价值;最近,阿特拉津生产商先正达赞助了一个“阿特拉津效益团队”(ABT),该团队的研究人员在2011年发表了五篇论文,报告了在美国农业中使用阿特拉津带来的巨大经济效益。对ABT论文的批判性审查表明,他们低估了抗阿特拉津杂草日益严重的问题,仅对替代除草剂的有效性进行了部分审查,并且忽略了非化学杂草管理技术这一有前景的选择。此外,ABT论文中最完整的经济分析表明,停用阿特拉津将导致玉米产量下降4.4%,玉米价格上涨8.0%。结果将是玉米种植者的收入增加,按照ABT的假设,每年增加17亿美元。对消费者的价格影响将微乎其微:在当前乙醇生产和使用水平下,汽油价格每加仑上涨不超过0.03美元;一份4盎司的汉堡牛肉价格预计上涨0.01美元,一份8盎司的牛排价格上涨0.05美元。因此,停用阿特拉津将增加农场收入,而对消费者价格的影响仅为几分钱。