• 文献检索
  • 文档翻译
  • 深度研究
  • 学术资讯
  • Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
  • 邀请有礼
  • 套餐&价格
  • 历史记录
应用&插件
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
定价
高级版会员购买积分包购买API积分包
服务
文献检索文档翻译深度研究API 文档MCP 服务
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利:CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2026

文献检索

告别复杂PubMed语法,用中文像聊天一样搜索,搜遍4000万医学文献。AI智能推荐,让科研检索更轻松。

立即免费搜索

文件翻译

保留排版,准确专业,支持PDF/Word/PPT等文件格式,支持 12+语言互译。

免费翻译文档

深度研究

AI帮你快速写综述,25分钟生成高质量综述,智能提取关键信息,辅助科研写作。

立即免费体验

贝叶斯视角下的基于机制模型的变异性和不确定性估计。

A bayesian perspective on estimation of variability and uncertainty in mechanism-based models.

机构信息

Discovery Medicine and Clinical Pharmacology, Bristol Myers Squibb Company, Lawrenceville, New Jersey, USA.

出版信息

CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol. 2014 Jun 25;3(6):e121. doi: 10.1038/psp.2014.19.

DOI:10.1038/psp.2014.19
PMID:24964283
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4076806/
Abstract

Mechanism-based pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic models have a fundamental basis in biology and pharmacology and, thus, are useful for hypothesis generation and extrapolation beyond the conditions of the original analysis data. The complexity of these models necessitates the incorporation of prior knowledge to inform many of the model parameters. Markov chain Monte Carlo Bayesian estimation offers a robust and statistically rigorous approach for incorporation of prior information into mechanism-based models. This article provides a perspective on the utility of this approach.

摘要

基于机制的药代动力学/药效动力学模型在生物学和药理学方面具有根本基础,因此可用于生成假设并推断原始分析数据条件之外的情况。这些模型的复杂性需要纳入先验知识以告知许多模型参数。马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗贝叶斯估计为将先验信息纳入基于机制的模型提供了一种强大且严格的统计方法。本文对这种方法的实用性提供了一个视角。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6b50/4076806/f4a07e29f71c/psp201419f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6b50/4076806/f4a07e29f71c/psp201419f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6b50/4076806/f4a07e29f71c/psp201419f1.jpg

相似文献

1
A bayesian perspective on estimation of variability and uncertainty in mechanism-based models.贝叶斯视角下的基于机制模型的变异性和不确定性估计。
CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol. 2014 Jun 25;3(6):e121. doi: 10.1038/psp.2014.19.
2
Assessing convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations in hierarchical Bayesian models for population pharmacokinetics.评估群体药代动力学分层贝叶斯模型中马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗模拟的收敛性。
Ann Biomed Eng. 2004 Sep;32(9):1300-13. doi: 10.1114/b:abme.0000039363.94089.08.
3
Using Bayesian-PBPK modeling for assessment of inter-individual variability and subgroup stratification.使用贝叶斯生理药代动力学(PBPK)模型评估个体间变异性和亚组分层。
In Silico Pharmacol. 2013 Apr 11;1:6. doi: 10.1186/2193-9616-1-6. eCollection 2013.
4
Bayesian analysis of physiologically based toxicokinetic and toxicodynamic models.基于生理的毒代动力学和毒效动力学模型的贝叶斯分析
Toxicology. 2006 Apr 17;221(2-3):241-8. doi: 10.1016/j.tox.2005.12.017. Epub 2006 Feb 8.
5
Input estimation for drug discovery using optimal control and Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches.使用最优控制和马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法进行药物发现的输入估计。
J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn. 2016 Apr;43(2):207-21. doi: 10.1007/s10928-016-9467-z. Epub 2016 Mar 1.
6
Bayesian Estimation of Correlation between Measures of Blood Pressure Indices, Aerobic Capacity and Resting Heart Rate Variability Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation and 95% High Density Interval in Female School Teachers.贝叶斯估计女性学校教师血压指数、有氧能力和静息心率变异性测量值之间的相关性,使用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗模拟和 95%高密度区间。
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Sep 16;17(18):6750. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17186750.
7
More stable estimation of the STARTS model: A Bayesian approach using Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques.更稳定的 STARTS 模型估计:贝叶斯方法与马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗技术。
Psychol Methods. 2018 Sep;23(3):570-593. doi: 10.1037/met0000155. Epub 2017 Nov 27.
8
Bayesian evaluation of a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model for perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS) to characterize the interspecies uncertainty between mice, rats, monkeys, and humans: Development and performance verification.基于生理学的药代动力学(PBPK)模型评估全氟辛烷磺酸(PFOS)在小鼠、大鼠、猴子和人类之间的种间不确定性:开发和性能验证。
Environ Int. 2019 Aug;129:408-422. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2019.03.058. Epub 2019 May 29.
9
Lifetime PCB 153 bioaccumulation and pharmacokinetics in pilot whales: Bayesian population PBPK modeling and Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations.领航鲸体内多氯联苯153的终生生物累积和药代动力学:贝叶斯群体生理药代动力学建模与马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛模拟
Chemosphere. 2014 Jan;94:91-6. doi: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2013.09.019. Epub 2013 Sep 27.
10
Part 2. Development of Enhanced Statistical Methods for Assessing Health Effects Associated with an Unknown Number of Major Sources of Multiple Air Pollutants.第2部分。开发增强的统计方法,以评估与多种空气污染物的未知数量主要来源相关的健康影响。
Res Rep Health Eff Inst. 2015 Jun(183 Pt 1-2):51-113.

引用本文的文献

1
Monitoring of Dabrafenib and Trametinib in Serum and Self-Sampled Capillary Blood in Patients with BRAFV600-Mutant Melanoma.对BRAFV600突变型黑色素瘤患者血清及自采毛细血管血中达拉非尼和曲美替尼的监测
Cancers (Basel). 2022 Sep 20;14(19):4566. doi: 10.3390/cancers14194566.
2
Complex Bayesian Modeling Workflows Encoding and Execution Made Easy With a Novel WinBUGS Plugin of the Drug Disease Model Resources Interoperability Framework.复杂贝叶斯建模工作流程的编码和执行变得简单,得益于新药疾病模型资源互操作性框架的新型 WinBUGS 插件。
CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol. 2018 May;7(5):298-308. doi: 10.1002/psp4.12285. Epub 2018 Mar 25.
3

本文引用的文献

1
PBPK modelling of inter-individual variability in the pharmacokinetics of environmental chemicals.环境化学物药代动力学个体间变异性的 PBPK 建模。
Toxicology. 2010 Dec 30;278(3):256-67. doi: 10.1016/j.tox.2010.06.007. Epub 2010 Jun 30.
2
The BUGS project: Evolution, critique and future directions.BUGS 项目:演化、批判与未来方向。
Stat Med. 2009 Nov 10;28(25):3049-67. doi: 10.1002/sim.3680.
3
The application of a Bayesian approach to the analysis of a complex, mechanistically based model.贝叶斯方法在基于机制的复杂模型分析中的应用。
Approaching Pharmacometrics as a Paleontologist Would: Recovering the Links Between Drugs and the Body Through Reconstruction.
以古生物学家的方式研究药物计量学:通过重建恢复药物与身体之间的联系。
CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol. 2016 Mar;5(3):158-60. doi: 10.1002/psp4.12069. Epub 2016 Mar 22.
4
Development and Application of a Mechanistic Pharmacokinetic Model for Simvastatin and its Active Metabolite Simvastatin Acid Using an Integrated Population PBPK Approach.使用综合群体生理药代动力学方法建立辛伐他汀及其活性代谢物辛伐他汀酸的机制性药代动力学模型并进行应用
Pharm Res. 2015 Jun;32(6):1864-83. doi: 10.1007/s11095-014-1581-2. Epub 2014 Dec 2.
J Biopharm Stat. 2007;17(1):65-92. doi: 10.1080/10543400600851898.
4
Bayes offers a 'new' way to make sense of numbers.贝叶斯提供了一种理解数字的“新”方法。
Science. 1999 Nov 19;286(5444):1460-4. doi: 10.1126/science.286.5444.1460.
5
Evaluation of methods for estimating population pharmacokinetics parameters. I. Michaelis-Menten model: routine clinical pharmacokinetic data.群体药代动力学参数估算方法的评估。I. 米氏模型:常规临床药代动力学数据。
J Pharmacokinet Biopharm. 1980 Dec;8(6):553-71. doi: 10.1007/BF01060053.