Suppr超能文献

具有最优控制的疟疾与霍乱疾病共感染模型

A co-infection model of malaria and cholera diseases with optimal control.

作者信息

Okosun K O, Makinde O D

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, Vaal University of Technology, X021, Vanderbijlpark, 1900, South Africa.

Faculty of Military Science, Stellenbosch University, Private Bag X2, Saldanha, 7395, South Africa.

出版信息

Math Biosci. 2014 Dec;258:19-32. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2014.09.008. Epub 2014 Sep 22.

Abstract

In this paper we formulate a mathematical model for malaria-cholera co-infection in order to investigate their synergistic relationship in the presence of treatments. We first analyze the single infection steady states, calculate the basic reproduction number and then investigate the existence and stability of equilibria. We then analyze the co-infection model, which is found to exhibit backward bifurcation. The impact of malaria and its treatment on the dynamics of cholera is further investigated. Secondly, we incorporate time dependent controls, using Pontryagin's Maximum Principle to derive necessary conditions for the optimal control of the disease. We found that malaria infection may be associated with an increased risk of cholera but however, cholera infection is not associated with an increased risk for malaria. Therefore, to effectively control malaria, the malaria intervention strategies by policy makers must at the same time also include cholera control.

摘要

在本文中,我们构建了一个疟疾 - 霍乱合并感染的数学模型,以研究在有治疗手段的情况下它们之间的协同关系。我们首先分析单一感染的稳态,计算基本再生数,然后研究平衡点的存在性和稳定性。接着我们分析合并感染模型,发现其呈现后向分岔。进一步研究了疟疾及其治疗对霍乱动态变化的影响。其次,我们纳入了与时间相关的控制措施,利用庞特里亚金极大值原理推导疾病最优控制的必要条件。我们发现疟疾感染可能与霍乱风险增加有关,但霍乱感染与疟疾风险增加无关。因此,为有效控制疟疾,政策制定者的疟疾干预策略必须同时也包括霍乱控制。

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验