Hoff Peter D, Niu Xiaoyue, Wellner Jon A
Professor of Statistics and Biostatistics University of Washington Seattle, WA 98195-4322.
Research Assistant Professor of Statistics Penn State University University Park, PA 16802.
Bernoulli (Andover). 2014;20(2):604-622. doi: 10.3150/12-BEJ499.
Often of primary interest in the analysis of multivariate data are the copula parameters describing the dependence among the variables, rather than the univariate marginal distributions. Since the ranks of a multivariate dataset are invariant to changes in the univariate marginal distributions, rank-based estimators are natural candidates for semiparametric copula estimation. Asymptotic information bounds for such estimators can be obtained from an asymptotic analysis of the rank likelihood, i.e. the probability of the multivariate ranks. In this article, we obtain limiting normal distributions of the rank likelihood for Gaussian copula models. Our results cover models with structured correlation matrices, such as exchangeable or circular correlation models, as well as unstructured correlation matrices. For all Gaussian copula models, the limiting distribution of the rank likelihood ratio is shown to be equal to that of a parametric likelihood ratio for an appropriately chosen multivariate normal model. This implies that the semiparametric information bounds for rank-based estimators are the same as the information bounds for estimators based on the full data, and that the multivariate normal distributions are least favorable.
在多变量数据分析中,通常首要关注的是描述变量间依赖关系的 copula 参数,而非单变量边际分布。由于多变量数据集的秩对于单变量边际分布的变化具有不变性,基于秩的估计量自然是半参数 copula 估计的理想选择。此类估计量的渐近信息界可通过对秩似然(即多变量秩的概率)的渐近分析得到。在本文中,我们获得了高斯 copula 模型秩似然的极限正态分布。我们的结果涵盖了具有结构化相关矩阵的模型,如可交换或循环相关模型,以及非结构化相关矩阵。对于所有高斯 copula 模型,秩似然比的极限分布被证明等于适当选择的多变量正态模型的参数似然比的极限分布。这意味着基于秩的估计量的半参数信息界与基于完整数据的估计量的信息界相同,并且多变量正态分布是最不利的。