Keith David W, Duren Riley, MacMartin Douglas G
School of Engineering and Applied Science and Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, Pierce Hall, 29 Oxford Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Earth Science and Technology Directorate, 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, CA 91109, USA.
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2014 Dec 28;372(2031). doi: 10.1098/rsta.2014.0175.
We summarize a portfolio of possible field experiments on solar radiation management (SRM) and related technologies. The portfolio is intended to support analysis of potential field research related to SRM including discussions about the overall merit and risk of such research as well as mechanisms for governing such research and assessments of observational needs. The proposals were generated with contributions from leading researchers at a workshop held in March 2014 at which the proposals were critically reviewed. The proposed research dealt with three major classes of SRM proposals: marine cloud brightening, stratospheric aerosols and cirrus cloud manipulation. The proposals are summarized here along with an analysis exploring variables such as space and time scale, risk and radiative forcing. Possible gaps, biases and cross-cutting considerations are discussed. Finally, suggestions for plausible next steps in the development of a systematic research programme are presented.
我们总结了一系列关于太阳辐射管理（SRM）及相关技术的可能的实地试验。该系列旨在支持对与SRM相关的潜在实地研究的分析，包括对这类研究的总体优点和风险的讨论，以及管理此类研究的机制和观测需求评估。这些提议是在2014年3月举办的一次研讨会上，由顶尖研究人员共同提出并经过严格审查的。提议的研究涉及SRM提议的三大类：海洋云增亮、平流层气溶胶和卷云操纵。在此总结这些提议，并进行分析，探讨诸如空间和时间尺度、风险和辐射强迫等变量。讨论了可能存在的差距、偏差和交叉问题。最后，针对系统研究计划的合理下一步发展提出了建议。
