Gasper Joseph, DeLuca Stefanie, Estacion Angela
Westat, 1600 Research Blvd. Rockville, MD 20850, (240) 314-2485, (301) 610-4905.
JHU Department of Sociology, 532 Mergenthaler Hall, 3400. N. Charles St. Baltimore, MD 21218, (410) 516-7629, (410) 516-7590.
Am Educ Res J. 2012 Jun;49(3):487-519. doi: 10.3102/0002831211415250.
Youth who switch schools are more likely to demonstrate a wide array of negative behavioral and educational outcomes, including dropping out of high school. However, whether switching schools actually puts youth at risk for dropout is uncertain, since youth who switch schools are similar to dropouts in their levels of prior school achievement and engagement, which suggests that switching schools may be part of the same long-term developmental process of disengagement that leads to dropping out. Using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997, this study uses propensity score matching to pair youth who switched high schools with similar youth who stayed in the same school. We find that while over half the association between switching schools and dropout is explained by observed characteristics prior to 9 grade, switching schools is still associated with dropout. Moreover, the relationship between switching schools and dropout varies depending on a youth's propensity for switching schools.
转学的青少年更有可能出现一系列负面行为和教育结果,包括从高中辍学。然而,转学是否真的会让青少年面临辍学风险尚不确定,因为转学的青少年在先前的学业成绩和参与度水平上与辍学者相似,这表明转学可能是导致辍学的同一长期脱离发展过程的一部分。本研究利用1997年全国青年纵向调查的数据,使用倾向得分匹配法,将转高中的青少年与留在同一学校的类似青少年进行配对。我们发现,虽然转学与辍学之间超过一半的关联可以由九年级之前观察到的特征来解释,但转学仍然与辍学有关。此外,转学与辍学之间的关系因青少年转学的倾向而异。