Staff Jeremy, Johnson Monica Kirkpatrick, Patrick Megan E, Schulenberg John E
The Pennsylvania State University.
Washington State University.
Longit Life Course Stud. 2014;5(2):173-188. doi: 10.14301/llcs.v5i2.275.
The Great Recession had substantial effects on the labor market in the United States, as elsewhere. To what extent did secondary students' employment decline during this time? Which students are leaving the labor market? Are reductions in employment concentrated in particular jobs? To answer these questions, we use data from the Monitoring the Future study, an ongoing study of secondary students in the United States. More specifically, we examine recent trends in teenage employment using 6 cohorts each of 8, 10, and 12 graders (from 2006 to 2011, spanning before, during and after the Great Recession). Results show a gradual decline in school year employment since 2006, including the years after the official end of the recession. Employment during the school year is especially low among 8 and 10 graders, Hispanic and non-Hispanic Black youth, and students from disadvantaged backgrounds (based upon parental education), though the recent drop in work has varied little by population subgroups. The decline in employment is, however, concentrated among the oldest students, and working intensely (over 20 hours per week) has dropped more than working moderate hours. Students are more likely to babysit and do lawn work and less likely to hold jobs in office, clerical, and sales positions than in years past. These patterns and recent shifts in job type suggest some degree of job replacement by older workers.
与其他地区一样,大衰退对美国劳动力市场产生了重大影响。在此期间,中学生的就业下降了多少?哪些学生正在离开劳动力市场?就业减少是否集中在特定工作岗位?为了回答这些问题,我们使用了“未来监测”研究的数据,该研究是一项对美国中学生进行的持续研究。更具体地说,我们使用了8年级、10年级和12年级的6个队列(从2006年到2011年,涵盖大衰退之前、期间和之后)来研究青少年就业的近期趋势。结果显示,自2006年以来,学年就业呈逐渐下降趋势,包括衰退正式结束后的年份。8年级和10年级学生、西班牙裔和非西班牙裔黑人青年以及来自弱势背景(基于父母教育程度)的学生在学年期间的就业率尤其低,尽管近期就业下降在不同人口亚组中差异不大。然而,就业下降集中在年龄最大的学生中,而且高强度工作(每周超过20小时)的下降幅度大于适度工作。与过去几年相比,学生更有可能从事保姆和草坪护理工作,而在办公室、文职和销售岗位工作则不太可能。这些模式以及近期工作类型的转变表明,老年工人在一定程度上取代了青少年工作岗位。