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Beyond the status-quo: research on Bayesian reasoning must develop in both theory and method.

作者信息

McNair Simon J

机构信息

Centre for Decision Research, Leeds University Business School, University of Leeds Leeds, UK.

出版信息

Front Psychol. 2015 Feb 6;6:97. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2015.00097. eCollection 2015.

DOI:10.3389/fpsyg.2015.00097
PMID:25705200
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4319396/
Abstract
摘要

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The psychology of Bayesian reasoning.贝叶斯推理的心理学
Front Psychol. 2014 Oct 9;5:1144. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2014.01144. eCollection 2014.
3
Whose statistical reasoning is facilitated by a causal structure intervention?因果结构干预对谁的统计推理有促进作用？
Psychon Bull Rev. 2015 Feb;22(1):258-64. doi: 10.3758/s13423-014-0645-y.
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When does information about causal structure improve statistical reasoning?关于因果结构的信息何时能改善统计推理？
Q J Exp Psychol (Hove). 2014;67(4):625-45. doi: 10.1080/17470218.2013.821709. Epub 2013 Aug 12.
5
Ecological rationality or nested sets? Individual differences in cognitive processing predict Bayesian reasoning.生态理性还是嵌套集？认知加工的个体差异预测贝叶斯推理。
Psychon Bull Rev. 2014 Feb;21(1):198-204. doi: 10.3758/s13423-013-0464-6.
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The multifold relationship between memory and decision making: an individual-differences study.记忆与决策的多方面关系：一项个体差异研究。
J Exp Psychol Learn Mem Cogn. 2013 Sep;39(5):1344-64. doi: 10.1037/a0032379. Epub 2013 Apr 8.
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The 'whys' and 'whens' of individual differences in thinking biases.思维偏差个体差异的“原因”和“时间”。
Trends Cogn Sci. 2013 Apr;17(4):172-8. doi: 10.1016/j.tics.2013.02.001. Epub 2013 Mar 13.
8
When and for whom do frequencies facilitate performance? On the role of numerical literacy.频率在何时以及对谁而言有助于表现？论数字素养的作用。
Q J Exp Psychol (Hove). 2012;65(12):2343-68. doi: 10.1080/17470218.2012.687004. Epub 2012 May 25.
9
Frequency interpretation of ambiguous statistical information facilitates Bayesian reasoning.模糊统计信息的频率解释有助于贝叶斯推理。
Psychon Bull Rev. 2008 Apr;15(2):284-9. doi: 10.3758/pbr.15.2.284.
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The role of causality in judgment under uncertainty.因果关系在不确定性判断中的作用。
J Exp Psychol Gen. 2007 Aug;136(3):430-50. doi: 10.1037/0096-3445.136.3.430.