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2009年巴西圣保罗州甲型H1N1流感大流行所致死亡的危险因素

Risk factors for death from Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, State of São Paulo, Brazil, 2009.

作者信息

Ribeiro Ana Freitas, Pellini Alessandra Cristina Guedes, Kitagawa Beatriz Yuko, Marques Daniel, Madalosso Geraldine, de Cassia Nogueira Figueira Gerrita, Fred João, Albernaz Ricardo Kerti Mangabeira, Carvalhanas Telma Regina Marques Pinto, Zanetta Dirce Maria Trevisan

机构信息

Epidemiological Surveillance Center, Disease Control Coordination, State of São Paulo Department of Health, São Paulo, Brazil; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.

Epidemiological Surveillance Center, Disease Control Coordination, State of São Paulo Department of Health, São Paulo, Brazil.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2015 Mar 16;10(3):e0118772. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0118772. eCollection 2015.

Abstract

This case-control study aimed to assess the risk factors for death from influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 in patients with laboratory confirmation, who had severe acute respiratory illness-SARI and were hospitalized between June 28th and August 29th 2009, in the metropolitan regions of São Paulo and Campinas, Brazil. Medical charts of all the 193 patients who died (cases) and the 386 randomly selected patients who recovered (controls) were investigated in 177 hospitals. Household interviews were conducted with those who had survived and the closest relative of those who had died. 73.6% of cases and 38.1% of controls were at risk of developing influenza-related complications. The 18-to-59-year age group (OR = 2.31, 95%CI: 1.31-4.10 (reference up to 18 years of age)), presence of risk conditions for severity of influenza (OR = 1.99, 95%CI: 1.11-3.57, if one or OR = 6.05, 95%CI: 2.76-13.28, if more than one), obesity (OR = 2.73, 95%CI: 1.28-5.83), immunosuppression (OR = 3.43, 95%CI: 1.28-9.19), and search for previous care associated with the hospitalization (OR = 3.35, 95%CI: 1.75-6.40) were risk factors for death. Antiviral treatment performed within 72 hours of the onset of symptoms (OR = 0.17, 95%CI: 0.08-0.37, if within 48hours, and OR = 0.30, 95%CI: 0.11-0.81, if between 48 and 72 hours) was protective against death. The identification of high-risk patients and early treatment are important factors for reducing morbi-mortality from influenza.

摘要

这项病例对照研究旨在评估2009年6月28日至8月29日期间,巴西圣保罗和坎皮纳斯大都市区内确诊感染甲型H1N1流感(pdm09)、患有严重急性呼吸道疾病(SARI)并住院治疗的患者的死亡风险因素。在177家医院对全部193例死亡患者(病例组)和386例随机选取的康复患者(对照组)的病历进行了调查。对存活患者及其死亡患者的近亲进行了家庭访谈。73.6%的病例组和38.1%的对照组有发生流感相关并发症的风险。18至59岁年龄组(比值比[OR]=2.31,95%置信区间[CI]:1.31 - 4.10,以18岁及以下为参照组)、存在流感严重程度的风险条件(若有一项风险条件,OR = 1.99,95%CI:1.11 - 3.57;若有多项风险条件,OR = 6.05,95%CI:2.76 - 13.28)、肥胖(OR = 2.73,95%CI:1.28 - 5.83)、免疫抑制(OR = 3.43,95%CI:1.28 - 9.19)以及寻求与住院相关的既往治疗(OR = 3.35,95%CI:1.75 - 6.40)均为死亡风险因素。在症状出现72小时内进行抗病毒治疗(若在48小时内进行,OR = 0.17,95%CI:0.08 - 0.37;若在48至72小时之间进行,OR = 0.30,95%CI:0.11 - 0.81)可预防死亡。识别高危患者并尽早治疗是降低流感病死率的重要因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7c79/4361171/df3245bc8d2c/pone.0118772.g001.jpg

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