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衡量能源消耗和空气质量指标对气候变化的影响:来自联合国气候变化框架公约分类国家小组的证据。

Measuring the impact of energy consumption and air quality indicators on climate change: evidence from the panel of UNFCC classified countries.

作者信息

Ozturk Ilhan

机构信息

Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Cag University, 33800, Mersin, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2015 Oct;22(20):15459-68. doi: 10.1007/s11356-015-4757-3. Epub 2015 May 26.

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between energy consumption, air pollution, and climate change in the panel of six economically diversified countries classified by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC) as industrialized countries and economies in transition nations by using the panel econometric techniques for the period of 1990-2012. The results of pooled least square regression show that both the energy consumption and air quality indicators have a positive and significant relationship with the climate change, i.e., 1 % increase in energy consumption increases greenhouse gas emissions by 0.124 %, carbon dioxide emissions increase by 0.652 %, methane emissions increase by 0.123 %, and nitrous oxide emissions increase greenhouse gas emissions by 0.105 % age points. The results of fixed-effect regression and random-effect regression confirmed the deteriorating impact of air quality indicators on climate change; however, the results failed to show any significant association between energy consumption and climate change when absorbing country-specific shocks and time-variant shocks during the study time period.

摘要

本研究运用面板计量技术,对1990 - 2012年期间联合国气候变化框架公约(UNFCC)归类为工业化国家和经济转型国家的六个经济多元化国家组成的面板,考察能源消耗、空气污染与气候变化之间的关系。混合最小二乘回归结果表明,能源消耗和空气质量指标均与气候变化呈正相关且具有显著关系,即能源消耗每增加1%,温室气体排放量增加0.124%,二氧化碳排放量增加0.652%,甲烷排放量增加0.123%,一氧化二氮排放量使温室气体排放量增加0.105个百分点。固定效应回归和随机效应回归结果证实了空气质量指标对气候变化的恶化影响;然而,在研究时间段内吸收国家特定冲击和时变冲击时,结果未能显示能源消耗与气候变化之间存在任何显著关联。

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