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气候变化和空气污染正在共同给旅游业带来噩梦。

Climate change and air pollution jointly creating nightmare for tourism industry.

作者信息

Sajjad Faiza, Noreen Umara, Zaman Khalid

机构信息

Department of Management Sciences, COMSATS Institute of Information Technology, Abbottabad, Pakistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2014 Nov;21(21):12403-18. doi: 10.1007/s11356-014-3146-7. Epub 2014 Jun 18.

Abstract

The objective of the study is to examine the long-run and causal relationship between climate change (i.e., greenhouse gas emissions, hydrofluorocarbons, per fluorocarbons, and sulfur hexafluoride), air pollution (i.e., methane emissions, nitrous oxide emissions, and carbon dioxide emissions), and tourism development indicators (i.e., international tourism receipts, international tourism expenditures, natural resource depletion, and net forest depletion) in the World's largest regions. The aggregate data is used for robust analysis in the South Asia, the Middle East and North Africa, sub-Saharan Africa, and East Asia and the Pacific regions, over a period of 1975-2012. The results show that climatic factors and air pollution have a negative impact on tourism indicators in the form of deforestation and natural resource depletion. The impact is evident, as we have seen the systematic eroding of tourism industry, due to severe changes in climate and increasing strain of air pollution. There are several channels of cause-effect relationship between the climatic factors, air pollution, and tourism indicators in the World's region. The study confirms the unidirectional, bidirectional, and causality independent relationship between climatic factors, air pollution, and tourism indicators in the World. It is conclusive that tourism industry is facing all time bigger challenges of reduce investment, less resources, and minor importance from the government agencies because of the two broad challenges, i.e., climate change and air pollution, putting them in a dismal state.

摘要

该研究的目的是考察世界最大区域内气候变化(即温室气体排放、氢氟碳化物、全氟化碳和六氟化硫)、空气污染(即甲烷排放、氧化亚氮排放和二氧化碳排放)与旅游发展指标(即国际旅游收入、国际旅游支出、自然资源耗竭和森林净损耗)之间的长期关系和因果关系。在1975年至2012年期间,汇总数据被用于南亚、中东和北非、撒哈拉以南非洲以及东亚和太平洋地区的稳健分析。结果表明,气候因素和空气污染以森林砍伐和自然资源耗竭的形式对旅游指标产生负面影响。这种影响是明显的,因为我们已经看到由于气候的剧烈变化和空气污染压力的增加,旅游业在系统性地受到侵蚀。世界各区域的气候因素、空气污染和旅游指标之间存在多种因果关系渠道。该研究证实了世界范围内气候因素、空气污染和旅游指标之间的单向、双向和因果独立关系。可以确定的是,由于气候变化和空气污染这两大挑战,旅游业正面临着前所未有的更大挑战,即投资减少、资源匮乏以及政府机构的重视程度降低,这使它们处于惨淡境地。

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