Ilic Milena, Ilic Irena, Stojanovic Goran, Zivanovic-Macuzic Ivana
Department of Epidemiology, Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Kragujevac, Kragujevac, Serbia.
Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Kragujevac, Kragujevac, Serbia.
BMJ Open. 2016 Jan 5;6(1):e008742. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-008742.
This paper reports association between mortality rates from cancer, ischaemic heart disease and diabetes mellitus and the consumption of common food groups and beverages in Serbia.
In this ecological study, data on both mortality and the average annual consumption of common food groups and beverages per household's member were obtained from official data-collection sources. The multivariate linear regression analysis was used to determine the strength of the associations between consumption of common food groups and beverages and mortality rates.
Markedly increasing trends of cancer, ischaemic heart disease and diabetes mellitus mortality rates were observed in Serbia in the period 1991-2010. Mortality rates from cancer were negatively associated with consumption of vegetable oil (p=0.005) and grains (p=0.001), and same was found for ischaemic heart disease (p=0.002 and 0.021, respectively), while consumption of other dairy products showed a significant positive association (p<0.001 and p=0.032, respectively). In men and women, mortality rates from diabetes mellitus showed a significant positive association with consumption of poultry (p=0.014 and 0.004, respectively). Consumption of beef and grains showed a significant negative association with cancer mortality rates in both genders (p=0.002 and p<0.001 in men, and p<0.001 and p=0.014 in women, respectively), while consumption of cheese was negatively associated only in men (p<0.001). Mortality from diabetes mellitus showed a significant positive association with consumption of animal fat and other dairy products only in women (p=0.003 and 0.046, respectively).
Association between unfavourable mortality trends from cancer, ischaemic heart disease and diabetes mellitus, and common food groups and beverages consumption was observed and should be assessed in future analytical epidemiological studies. Promotion of healthy diet is sorely needed in Serbia.
本文报告塞尔维亚癌症、缺血性心脏病和糖尿病死亡率与常见食物组及饮料消费之间的关联。
在这项生态学研究中,死亡率以及每户家庭成员常见食物组和饮料的年平均消费量数据均来自官方数据收集来源。采用多元线性回归分析来确定常见食物组和饮料消费与死亡率之间关联的强度。
1991 - 2010年期间,塞尔维亚癌症、缺血性心脏病和糖尿病死亡率呈明显上升趋势。癌症死亡率与植物油消费(p = 0.005)和谷物消费(p = 0.001)呈负相关,缺血性心脏病死亡率也如此(分别为p = 0.002和0.021),而其他乳制品消费则呈现显著正相关(分别为p < 0.001和p = 0.032)。在男性和女性中,糖尿病死亡率与家禽消费均呈显著正相关(分别为p = 0.014和0.004)。牛肉和谷物消费与两性的癌症死亡率均呈显著负相关(男性分别为p = 0.002和p < 0.001,女性分别为p < 0.001和p = 0.014),而奶酪消费仅在男性中呈负相关(p < 0.001)。糖尿病死亡率仅在女性中与动物脂肪和其他乳制品消费呈显著正相关(分别为p = 0.003和0.046)。
观察到癌症、缺血性心脏病和糖尿病不良死亡率趋势与常见食物组及饮料消费之间存在关联,未来的分析性流行病学研究应对此进行评估。塞尔维亚迫切需要推广健康饮食。