Ostroumova Evgenia, Hatch Maureen, Brenner Alina, Nadyrov Eldar, Veyalkin Ilya, Polyanskaya Olga, Yauseyenka Vasilina, Polyakov Semion, Levin Leonid, Zablotska Lydia, Rozhko Alexander, Mabuchi Kiyohiko
Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Department of Health and Human Services, 9609 Medical Center Drive, MSC 9776, Bethesda, 20892 MD, USA.
The Republican Research Center for Radiation Medicine and Human Ecology, 290 Ilyicha Street, Gomel 246040, Belarus.
Environ Res. 2016 May;147:44-9. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2016.01.025. Epub 2016 Feb 3.
While an increased risk of thyroid cancer from post-Chernobyl exposure to Iodine-131 (I-131) in children and adolescents has been well-documented, risks of other cancers or leukemia as a result of residence in radioactively contaminated areas remain uncertain.
We studied non-thyroid cancer incidence in a cohort of about 12,000 individuals from Belarus exposed under age of 18 years to Chernobyl fallout (median age at the time of Chernobyl accident of 7.9 years). During 15 years of follow-up from1997 through 2011, 54 incident cancers excluding thyroid were identified in the study cohort with 142,968 person-years at risk. We performed Standardized Incidence Ratio (SIR) analysis of all solid cancers excluding thyroid (n=42), of leukemia (n=6) and of lymphoma (n=6).
We found no significant increase in the incidence of non-thyroid solid cancer (SIR=0.83, 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 0.61; 1.11), lymphoma (SIR=0.66, 95% CI: 0.26; 1.33) or leukemia (SIR=1.78, 95% CI: 0.71; 3.61) in the study cohort as compared with the sex-, age- and calendar-time-specific national rates. These findings may in part reflect the relatively young age of study subjects (median attained age of 33.4 years), and long latency for some radiation-related solid cancers.
We found no evidence of statistically significant increases in solid cancer, lymphoma and leukemia incidence 25 years after childhood exposure in the study cohort; however, it is important to continue follow-up non-thyroid cancers in individuals exposed to low-level radiation at radiosensitive ages.
虽然切尔诺贝利事故后儿童和青少年接触碘 - 131(I - 131)导致甲状腺癌风险增加已得到充分记录,但居住在放射性污染地区导致其他癌症或白血病的风险仍不确定。
我们研究了来自白俄罗斯的约12000名18岁以下受切尔诺贝利沉降物影响人群(切尔诺贝利事故发生时的中位年龄为7.9岁)的非甲状腺癌发病率。在1997年至2011年的15年随访期间,研究队列中确定了54例非甲状腺的新发癌症,风险人年数为142968人年。我们对所有非甲状腺实体癌(n = 42)、白血病(n = 6)和淋巴瘤(n = 6)进行了标准化发病率比(SIR)分析。
与按性别、年龄和日历时间划分的全国发病率相比,我们发现研究队列中非甲状腺实体癌(SIR = 0.83,95%置信区间[CI]:0.61;1.11)、淋巴瘤(SIR = 0.66,95% CI:0.26;1.33)或白血病(SIR = 1.78,95% CI:0.71;3.61)的发病率没有显著增加。这些发现可能部分反映了研究对象相对年轻的年龄(中位达到年龄为33.4岁)以及某些与辐射相关实体癌的潜伏期较长。
我们发现研究队列中儿童期接触辐射25年后,实体癌、淋巴瘤和白血病发病率没有统计学上显著增加的证据;然而,对在辐射敏感年龄接触低水平辐射的个体继续随访非甲状腺癌很重要。