Hatch M, Ostroumova E, Brenner A, Federenko Z, Gorokh Y, Zvinchuk O, Shpak V, Tereschenko V, Tronko M, Mabuchi K
Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Cancer Epidemiol. 2015 Jun;39(3):279-83. doi: 10.1016/j.canep.2015.02.002. Epub 2015 Mar 18.
The Chernobyl nuclear power plant accident in Ukraine in 1986 led to widespread radioactive releases into the environment - primarily of radioiodines and cesium - heavily affecting the northern portions of the country, with settlement-averaged thyroid doses estimated to range from 10 mGy to more than 10 Gy. The increased risk of thyroid cancer among exposed children and adolescents is well established but the impact of radioactive contamination on the risk of other types of cancer is much less certain. To provide data on a public health issue of major importance, we have analyzed the incidence of non-thyroid cancers during the post-Chernobyl period in a well-defined cohort of 13,203 individuals who were <18 years of age at the time of the accident. The report is based on standardized incidence ratio (SIR) analysis of 43 non-thyroid cancers identified through linkage with the National Cancer Registry of Ukraine for the period 1998 through 2009. We compared the observed and expected number of cases in three cancer groupings: all solid cancers excluding thyroid, leukemia, and lymphoma. Our analyses found no evidence of a statistically significant elevation in cancer risks in this cohort exposed at radiosensitive ages, although the cancer trends, particularly for leukemia (SIR=1.92, 95% confidence interval: 0.69; 4.13), should continue to be monitored.
1986年发生在乌克兰的切尔诺贝利核电站事故导致大量放射性物质释放到环境中,主要是放射性碘和铯,严重影响了该国北部地区,据估计,当地居民甲状腺平均受照剂量在10毫戈瑞至超过10戈瑞之间。暴露的儿童和青少年患甲状腺癌的风险增加已得到充分证实,但放射性污染对其他类型癌症风险的影响则不太确定。为了提供关于一个极其重要的公共卫生问题的数据,我们分析了切尔诺贝利事故发生后,一个明确界定的队列中13203名在事故发生时年龄小于18岁的个体的非甲状腺癌发病率。本报告基于对1998年至2009年期间通过与乌克兰国家癌症登记处的数据链接确定的43种非甲状腺癌进行的标准化发病比(SIR)分析。我们比较了三个癌症分组中观察到的病例数和预期病例数:所有实体癌(不包括甲状腺癌)、白血病和淋巴瘤。我们的分析没有发现证据表明这个在辐射敏感年龄受到照射的队列中癌症风险有统计学上的显著升高,不过癌症趋势,特别是白血病的趋势(标准化发病比=1.92,95%置信区间:0.69;4.13)仍应继续监测。