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证明水球运动中游泳能力与表现指标之间的关联:一项多元回归研究。

Evidencing the association between swimming capacities and performance indicators in water polo: a multiple regression study.

作者信息

Kontic Dean, Zenic Natasa, Uljevic Ognjen, Sekulic Damir, Lesnik Blaz

机构信息

University of Dubrovnik, Dubrovnik, Croatia.

Water Polo Australia, National Governing Body for the Sport of Water Polo in Australia, Sydney Markets, Sydney, Australia.

出版信息

J Sports Med Phys Fitness. 2017 Jun;57(6):734-743. doi: 10.23736/S0022-4707.16.06361-1. Epub 2016 Apr 13.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Swimming capacities are hypothesized to be important determinants of water polo performance but there is an evident lack of studies examining different swimming capacities in relation to specific offensive and defensive performance variables in this sport. The aim of this study was to determine the relationship between five swimming capacities and six performance determinants in water polo.

METHODS

The sample comprised 79 high-level youth water polo players (all males, 17-18 years of age). The variables included six performance-related variables (agility in offence and defense, efficacy in offence and defense, polyvalence in offence and defense), and five swimming-capacity tests (water polo sprint test [15 m], swimming sprint test [25 m], short-distance [100 m], aerobic endurance [400 m] and an anaerobic lactate endurance test [4× 50 m]). First, multiple regressions were calculated for one-half of the sample of subjects which were then validated with the remaining half of the sample. The 25-m swim was not included in the regression analyses due to the multicollinearity with other predictors.

RESULTS

The originally calculated regression models were validated for defensive agility (R=0.67 and R=0.55 for the original regression calculation and validation subsample, respectively) offensive agility (R=0.59 and R=0.61), and offensive efficacy (R=0.64 and R=0.58). Anaerobic lactate endurance is a significant predictor of offensive and defensive agility, while 15 m sprint significantly contributes to offensive efficacy. Swimming capacities are not found to be related to the polyvalence of the players.

CONCLUSIONS

The most superior offensive performance can be expected from those players with a high level of anaerobic lactate endurance and advanced sprinting capacity, while anaerobic lactate endurance is recognized as most important quality in defensive duties. Future studies should observe players' polyvalence in relation to (theoretical) knowledge of technical and tactical tasks. Results reinforce the need for the cross-validation of the prediction-models in sport and exercise sciences.

摘要

背景

游泳能力被认为是水球运动表现的重要决定因素,但明显缺乏针对该运动中不同游泳能力与特定进攻和防守表现变量之间关系的研究。本研究的目的是确定水球运动中五种游泳能力与六个表现决定因素之间的关系。

方法

样本包括79名高水平青年水球运动员(均为男性,年龄在17 - 18岁之间)。变量包括六个与表现相关的变量(进攻和防守敏捷性、进攻和防守效率、进攻和防守多元性),以及五项游泳能力测试(水球冲刺测试[15米]、游泳冲刺测试[25米]、短距离[100米]、有氧耐力[400米]和无氧乳酸耐力测试[4×50米])。首先,对一半的受试者样本进行多元回归计算,然后用另一半样本进行验证。由于与其他预测变量存在多重共线性,25米游泳测试未纳入回归分析。

结果

最初计算的回归模型在防守敏捷性方面得到验证(原始回归计算和验证子样本的R值分别为0.67和0.55)、进攻敏捷性(R = 0.59和R = 0.61)以及进攻效率(R = 0.64和R = 0.58)。无氧乳酸耐力是进攻和防守敏捷性的重要预测指标,而15米冲刺对进攻效率有显著贡献。未发现游泳能力与运动员的多元性有关。

结论

预计具有高水平无氧乳酸耐力和先进冲刺能力的运动员将表现出最出色的进攻表现,而无氧乳酸耐力被认为是防守任务中最重要的素质。未来的研究应观察运动员在技术和战术任务(理论)知识方面的多元性。结果强调了体育和运动科学中预测模型交叉验证的必要性。

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