McKee C M
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom.
Eur J Epidemiol. 1989 Jun;5(2):178-82. doi: 10.1007/BF00156826.
There is a substantial increase in the number of deaths in winter in the United Kingdom. This is also seen in some, but not all, European countries. Almost 60% of the variation among countries can be explained by the minimum average monthly temperature and the gross national product per capita. Seasonal variation is lowest in those countries with cold winters, suggesting that insulation may be important. It is also low in the more wealthy countries. The implications for health service policy of these finding are discussed. Some of the residual variation may be explained by known factors, such as low cost geo-thermal energy in Iceland, but much remains unexplained. There is a need for more research in this field.
在英国,冬季死亡人数大幅增加。在一些(但并非全部)欧洲国家也存在这种情况。各国之间近60%的差异可由月平均最低气温和人均国民生产总值来解释。在冬季寒冷的国家,季节性差异最小,这表明保暖可能很重要。在较富裕的国家,季节性差异也较低。本文讨论了这些发现对卫生服务政策的影响。一些残余差异可能由已知因素解释,比如冰岛的低成本地热能,但仍有许多无法解释。该领域需要更多研究。