Peterson Cora, DeGue Sarah, Florence Curtis, Lokey Colby N
National Center for Injury Prevention and Control, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
National Center for Injury Prevention and Control, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Am J Prev Med. 2017 Jun;52(6):691-701. doi: 10.1016/j.amepre.2016.11.014. Epub 2017 Jan 30.
This study estimated the per-victim U.S. lifetime cost of rape.
Data from previous studies was combined with current administrative data and 2011 U.S. National Intimate Partner and Sexual Violence Survey data in a mathematical model. Rape was defined as any lifetime completed or attempted forced penetration or alcohol- or drug-facilitated penetration, measured among adults not currently institutionalized. Costs included attributable impaired health, lost productivity, and criminal justice costs from the societal perspective. Average age at first rape was assumed to be 18 years. Future costs were discounted by 3%. The main outcome measures were the average per-victim (female and male) and total population discounted lifetime cost of rape. Secondary outcome measures were marginal outcome probabilities among victims (e.g., suicide attempt) and perpetrators (e.g., incarceration) and associated costs. Analysis was conducted in 2016.
The estimated lifetime cost of rape was $122,461 per victim, or a population economic burden of nearly $3.1 trillion (2014 U.S. dollars) over victims' lifetimes, based on data indicating >25 million U.S. adults have been raped. This estimate included $1.2 trillion (39% of total) in medical costs; $1.6 trillion (52%) in lost work productivity among victims and perpetrators; $234 billion (8%) in criminal justice activities; and $36 billion (1%) in other costs, including victim property loss or damage. Government sources pay an estimated $1 trillion (32%) of the lifetime economic burden.
Preventing sexual violence could avoid substantial costs for victims, perpetrators, healthcare payers, employers, and government payers. These findings can inform evaluations of interventions to reduce sexual violence.
本研究估算了美国强奸案中每位受害者一生的成本。
将以往研究的数据与当前的行政数据以及2011年美国全国亲密伴侣和性暴力调查数据相结合,建立数学模型。强奸定义为一生中任何已完成或未遂的强迫性插入或在酒精或药物作用下促成的插入行为,研究对象为当前未被监禁的成年人。成本包括从社会角度来看的健康损害成本、生产力损失成本以及刑事司法成本。首次强奸的平均年龄假定为18岁。未来成本按3%进行贴现。主要结局指标为每位受害者(女性和男性)一生的平均贴现成本以及总人口的强奸一生贴现成本。次要结局指标为受害者(如自杀未遂)和犯罪者(如监禁)的边际结局概率以及相关成本。分析于2016年进行。
根据表明超过2500万美国成年人曾遭受强奸的数据,估计强奸案每位受害者一生的成本为122,461美元,或者在受害者一生中给总人口带来近3.1万亿美元(2014年美元)的经济负担。这一估计包括1.2万亿美元(占总计的39%)的医疗成本;1.6万亿美元(52%)的受害者和犯罪者的工作生产力损失;2340亿美元(8%)的刑事司法活动成本;以及360亿美元(1%)的其他成本,包括受害者的财产损失或损坏。政府来源支付估计一生经济负担的1万亿美元(32%)。
预防性暴力可避免给受害者、犯罪者、医疗保健支付方、雇主和政府支付方带来巨大成本。这些发现可为减少性暴力干预措施的评估提供参考。