Division of Nephrology, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Rome, Italy.
Channing Division of Network Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts; Division of Nephrology and Transplantation, Maine Medical Center, Portland, Oregon.
J Urol. 2017 Oct;198(4):858-863. doi: 10.1016/j.juro.2017.03.124. Epub 2017 Mar 30.
Several dietary and lifestyle factors are associated with a higher risk of kidney stones. We estimated the population attributable fraction and the number needed to prevent for modifiable risk factors, including body mass index, fluid intake, DASH (Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension) style diet, dietary calcium intake and sugar sweetened beverage intake.
We used data on the HPFS (Health Professionals Follow-Up Study) cohort and the NHS (Nurses' Health Study) I and II cohorts. Information was obtained from validated questionnaires. Poisson regression models adjusted for potential confounders were used to estimate the association of each risk factor with the development of incident kidney stones and calculate the population attributable fraction and the number needed to prevent.
The study included 192,126 participants who contributed a total of 3,259,313 person-years of followup, during which an incident kidney stone developed in 6,449 participants. All modifiable risk factors were independently associated with incident stones in each cohort. The population attributable fraction ranged from 4.4% for a higher intake of sugar sweetened beverages to 26.0% for a lower fluid intake. The population attributable fraction for all 5 risk factors combined was 57.0% in HPFS, 55.2% in NHS I and 55.1% in NHS II. The number needed to prevent during 10 years ranged from 67 for lower fluid intake to 556 for lower dietary calcium intake.
Five modifiable risk factors accounted for more than 50% of incident kidney stones in 3 large prospective cohorts. Assuming a causal relation, our estimates suggest that preventive measures aimed at reducing those factors could substantially decrease the burden of kidney stones in the general population.
一些饮食和生活方式因素与更高的肾结石风险相关。我们估计了可改变的危险因素的人群归因分数和需要预防的数量,包括体重指数、液体摄入、DASH(停止高血压的饮食方法)饮食、饮食钙摄入和含糖饮料摄入。
我们使用了 HPFS(健康专业人员随访研究)队列和 NHS(护士健康研究)I 和 II 队列的数据。信息来自经过验证的问卷。使用调整了潜在混杂因素的泊松回归模型来估计每个风险因素与新发生肾结石的发展之间的关联,并计算人群归因分数和需要预防的数量。
该研究包括 192126 名参与者,他们总共提供了 3259313 人年的随访,在此期间,6449 名参与者发生了新发生的肾结石。所有可改变的危险因素在每个队列中都与新发生的结石独立相关。人群归因分数范围从较高的含糖饮料摄入导致的 4.4%到较低的液体摄入导致的 26.0%。在 HPFS 中,所有 5 个危险因素的人群归因分数为 57.0%,在 NHS I 中为 55.2%,在 NHS II 中为 55.1%。在 10 年内需要预防的数量范围从较低的液体摄入的 67 到较低的饮食钙摄入的 556。
在 3 个大型前瞻性队列中,5 个可改变的危险因素导致了超过 50%的新发生肾结石。假设存在因果关系,我们的估计表明,旨在减少这些因素的预防措施可以大大降低普通人群中肾结石的负担。