Athanazio Rodrigo, Pereira Mônica Corso, Gramblicka Georgina, Cavalcanti-Lundgren Fernando, de Figueiredo Mara Fernandes, Arancibia Francisco, Rached Samia, de la Rosa David, Máiz-Carro Luis, Girón Rosa, Olveira Casilda, Prados Concepción, Martinez-Garcia Miguel Angel
Pulmonary Division, Heart Institute (InCor) do Hospital das Clinicas da Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo, Av Dr Eneas de Carvalho Aguiar, 44 - 5 andar (Pneumologia), São Paulo, 05403-900, Brazil.
Pneumology Service, State University of Campinas (Unicamp), São Paulo, Brazil.
BMC Pulm Med. 2017 Apr 26;17(1):73. doi: 10.1186/s12890-017-0417-3.
The FACED score is an easy-to-use multidimensional grading system that has demonstrated an excellent prognostic value for mortality in patients with bronchiectasis. A Spanish group developed the score but no multicenter international validation has yet been published.
Retrospective and multicenter study conducted in six historical cohorts of patients from Latin America including 651 patients with bronchiectasis. Clinical, microbiological, functional, and radiological variables were collected, following the same criteria used in the original FACED score study. The vital status of all patients was determined in the fifth year of follow-up. The area under ROC curve (AUC-ROC) was used to calculate the predictive power of the FACED score for all-cause and respiratory deaths and both number and severity of exacerbations. The discriminatory power to divide patients into three groups of increasing severity was also analyzed.
Mean (SD) age of 48.2 (16), 32.9% of males. The mean FACED score was 2.35 (1.68). During the follow up, 95 patients (14.6%) died (66% from respiratory causes). The AUC ROC to predict all-cause and respiratory mortality were 0.81 (95% CI: 0.77 to 0.85) 0.84 (95% CI: 0.80 to 0.88) respectively, and 0.82 (95% CI: 078-0.87) for at least one hospitalization per year. The division into three score groups separated bronchiectasis into distinct mortality groups (mild: 3.7%; moderate: 20.7% and severe: 48.5% mortality; p < 0.001).
The FACED score was confirmed as an excellent predictor of all-cause and respiratory mortality and severe exacerbations, as well as having excellent discriminative capacity for different degrees of severity in various bronchiectasis populations.
FACED评分是一种易于使用的多维分级系统,已证明对支气管扩张症患者的死亡率具有出色的预后价值。一个西班牙研究小组开发了该评分,但尚未发表多中心国际验证结果。
对来自拉丁美洲的六个历史队列中的651例支气管扩张症患者进行回顾性多中心研究。按照原始FACED评分研究中使用的相同标准,收集临床、微生物学、功能和放射学变量。在随访的第五年确定所有患者的生命状态。采用ROC曲线下面积(AUC-ROC)计算FACED评分对全因死亡和呼吸死亡以及加重发作的次数和严重程度的预测能力。还分析了将患者分为三组严重程度递增组的鉴别能力。
平均(标准差)年龄为48.2岁(16岁),男性占32.9%。FACED评分的平均值为2.35(1.68)。在随访期间,95例患者(14.6%)死亡(66%死于呼吸原因)。预测全因和呼吸死亡率的AUC-ROC分别为0.81(95%CI:0.77至0.85)和0.84(95%CI:0.80至0.88),每年至少住院一次的AUC-ROC为0.82(95%CI:0.78至0.87)。分为三个评分组将支气管扩张症分为不同的死亡组(轻度:死亡率3.7%;中度:死亡率20.7%;重度:死亡率48.5%;p<0.001)。
FACED评分被确认为全因和呼吸死亡率以及严重加重发作的优秀预测指标,并且在不同支气管扩张症人群中对不同严重程度具有出色的鉴别能力。