Fedintsev Alexander, Kashtanova Daria, Tkacheva Olga, Strazhesko Irina, Kudryavtseva Anna, Baranova Ancha, Moskalev Alexey
Engelhardt Institute of Molecular Biology of Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow 119991, Russia.
The Russian Clinical Research Center for Gerontology, Moscow 192226, Russia.
Aging (Albany NY). 2017 Apr;9(4):1280-1292. doi: 10.18632/aging.101227.
The decline in functional capacity is unavoidable consequence of the process of aging. While many anti-aging interventions have been proposed, clinical investigations into anti-aging medicine are limited by lack of reliable techniques for evaluating the rate of ageing. Here we present simple, accurate and cost-efficient techniques for estimation of human biological age, Male and Female Arterial Indices. We started with developing a model which accurately predicts chronological age. Using machine learning, we arrived on a set of four predictors, all of which reflect the functioning of the cardiovascular system. In Arterial Indices models, results of carotid artery duplex scan that show the thickness of the intima media complex and quantitatively describe the degree of stenosis are combined with pulse wave velocity and augmentation index measurements performed by applanation tonometry. In our cohort, the age of men was determined with MAE = 6.91 years (adjusted R-squared = 0.55), and the age of women with MAE = 5.87 years (adjusted R = 0.69). The Epsilon-accuracies of age-predicting models were at 86.5% and 80% for women and men, respectively. Substantially higher differences between the predicted age and the calendar age were noted for patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2D) as compared to non-T2D controls, indicating that the model could serve as a good approximation for an elusive biological age. Notably, in females with chronological and biological ages mismatching by 5 or more years, significant increases in in Framingham CVD scores and lower levels of IGF-1 were observed. Proposed Male and Female Arterial Indices derive biological age from the results of functional tests which do not require specialized laboratory equipment and, therefore, could be performed in hospitals and community health clinics.
功能能力的下降是衰老过程不可避免的结果。虽然已经提出了许多抗衰老干预措施,但抗衰老医学的临床研究受到缺乏可靠的衰老速率评估技术的限制。在此,我们提出了用于估计人类生物年龄的简单、准确且经济高效的技术,即男性和女性动脉指数。我们首先开发了一个能够准确预测实际年龄的模型。通过机器学习,我们得出了一组四个预测因子,所有这些因子都反映了心血管系统的功能。在动脉指数模型中,颈动脉双功扫描结果显示内膜中层复合体的厚度并定量描述狭窄程度,再结合通过压平式眼压计进行的脉搏波速度和增强指数测量。在我们的队列中,男性年龄的测定平均绝对误差(MAE)为6.91岁(调整后的决定系数R² = 0.55),女性年龄的测定MAE为5.87岁(调整后的R = 0.69)。年龄预测模型的ε准确率在女性和男性中分别为86.5%和80%。与非2型糖尿病(T2D)对照组相比,2型糖尿病患者预测年龄与实际年龄之间的差异明显更大,这表明该模型可以很好地近似难以捉摸的生物年龄。值得注意的是,在实际年龄与生物年龄相差5年或更多年的女性中,观察到弗雷明汉心血管疾病评分显著增加,胰岛素样生长因子-1(IGF-1)水平降低。所提出的男性和女性动脉指数从功能测试结果中得出生物年龄,这些测试不需要专门的实验室设备,因此可以在医院和社区卫生诊所进行。