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生物多样性面临的未来威胁及其预防途径。

Future threats to biodiversity and pathways to their prevention.

机构信息

Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St Paul, Minnesota 55108, USA.

Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, California 93106, USA.

出版信息

Nature. 2017 May 31;546(7656):73-81. doi: 10.1038/nature22900.

Abstract

Tens of thousands of species are threatened with extinction as a result of human activities. Here we explore how the extinction risks of terrestrial mammals and birds might change in the next 50 years. Future population growth and economic development are forecasted to impose unprecedented levels of extinction risk on many more species worldwide, especially the large mammals of tropical Africa, Asia and South America. Yet these threats are not inevitable. Proactive international efforts to increase crop yields, minimize land clearing and habitat fragmentation, and protect natural lands could increase food security in developing nations and preserve much of Earth's remaining biodiversity.

摘要

由于人类活动,数以万计的物种面临灭绝的威胁。在这里,我们探讨了未来 50 年内陆地哺乳动物和鸟类的灭绝风险可能会如何变化。未来的人口增长和经济发展预计将给全球更多的物种带来前所未有的灭绝风险,尤其是热带非洲、亚洲和南美洲的大型哺乳动物。然而,这些威胁并非不可避免。积极主动的国际努力来提高作物产量、最小化土地开垦和生境破碎化,并保护自然土地,可以提高发展中国家的粮食安全,并保护地球上大部分剩余的生物多样性。

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