King J C, Schweinle J E, Hatchett R J, Gao Y, Lichenstein R, Zhou J
US Department of Health and Human Services,Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response, Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority,Washington,DC 20201,USA.
Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI), CEPI, c/o Norwegian Institute of Public Health,PB 4404 Nydalen,N-0403 Oslo,Norway.
Epidemiol Infect. 2017 Aug;145(11):2409-2416. doi: 10.1017/S095026881700111X. Epub 2017 Jun 9.
We utilized de-identified data to evaluate increases in four outcomes during influenza outbreak periods (IOPs) including: hospitalization, intensive care unit admission, mechanical ventilation or death for adults aged 18 years or older with medically attended acute respiratory illnesses (MAARI) admitted to any of Maryland's 50 acute-care hospitals over 12 years. Weekly numbers of positive influenza tests in the Maryland area were obtained from the US Center for Disease Control and Prevention interactive website. The fewest consecutive weeks around the peak week containing at least 85% of the positive tests defined the IOP. Weekly counts of individual study outcomes were positively correlated with regional weekly counts of positive influenza tests during all the IOPs over 12 years. Also, rate ratios comparing daily occurrences of each study outcome between the IOP and non-IOP were significantly elevated. These results confirm conclusions of previous studies that influenza outbreaks are clearly associated with deaths and increased use of advanced medical resources by patients with MAARI. These data analyses suggest that increased efforts to develop more effective influenza vaccines and therapeutics should be a priority.
我们利用去识别化数据,评估了12年间马里兰州50家急症医院收治的18岁及以上患有医学诊断急性呼吸道疾病(MAARI)的成年人在流感暴发期(IOPs)的四项指标的增长情况,这四项指标包括:住院、重症监护病房收治、机械通气或死亡。马里兰州地区每周流感检测呈阳性的数量来自美国疾病控制与预防中心的交互式网站。在峰值周前后,连续最少周数内包含至少85%的阳性检测结果被定义为流感暴发期。在12年的所有流感暴发期内,各项研究指标的每周计数与该地区每周流感检测阳性计数呈正相关。此外,比较流感暴发期与非暴发期各研究指标每日发生率的率比显著升高。这些结果证实了先前研究的结论,即流感暴发显然与死亡以及MAARI患者更多地使用高级医疗资源有关。这些数据分析表明,加大力度研发更有效的流感疫苗和治疗方法应成为优先事项。