Kulkarni Prathit A, Gu Hui, Tsai Stella, Passannante Marian, Kim Soyeon, Thomas Pauline A, Tan Christina G, Davidow Amy L
1Epidemic Intelligence Service,Division of Science Education and Professional Development,Center for Surveillance,Epidemiology, and Laboratory Services,Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,Atlanta,Georgia.
2Division of Epidemiology,Environmental and Occupational Health,New Jersey Department of Health,Trenton,New Jersey.
Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2017 Dec;11(6):720-728. doi: 10.1017/dmp.2017.21. Epub 2017 Jun 29.
We characterized evacuations related to Hurricane Sandy, which made landfall in New Jersey on October 29, 2012.
We analyzed data from the 2014 New Jersey Behavioral Risk Factor Survey. The proportion of respondents reporting evacuation was used to estimate the number of New Jersey adults who evacuated. We determined evacuation rates in heavily impacted and less-impacted municipalities, as well as evacuation rates for municipalities under and not under mandatory evacuation orders. We tested associations between demographic and health factors, such as certain chronic health conditions, and evacuation.
Among respondents, 12.7% (95% CI: 11.8%-13.6%) reported evacuating, corresponding to approximately 880,000 adults. In heavily impacted municipalities, 17.0% (95% CI: 15.2%-18.7%) evacuated, compared with 10.1% (95% CI: 9.0%-11.2%) in less-impacted municipalities. In municipalities under mandatory evacuation orders, 42.5% (95% CI: 35.1%-49.8%) evacuated, compared with 11.8% (95% CI: 10.9%-12.9%) in municipalities not under mandatory orders. Female gender (odds ratio [OR]: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.14-1.64), unmarried status (OR: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.02-1.46), shorter length of residence (OR: 1.28; 95% CI: 1.03-1.60), and living in a heavily impacted municipality (OR: 1.84; 95% CI: 1.54-2.20) were significantly associated with evacuation. History of stroke (OR: 1.61; 95% CI: 1.02-2.53) was the only chronic condition associated with evacuation.
Approximately 880,000 New Jersey adults evacuated because of Hurricane Sandy. Those in heavily impacted municipalities and municipalities under mandatory evacuation orders had higher evacuation rates; however, still fewer than half evacuated. These findings can be used for future disaster planning. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2017;11:720-728).
我们对与2012年10月29日登陆新泽西州的桑迪飓风相关的撤离情况进行了特征描述。
我们分析了2014年新泽西州行为风险因素调查的数据。报告撤离的受访者比例用于估算新泽西州撤离的成年人数量。我们确定了受严重影响和受影响较小的市政当局的撤离率，以及处于和未处于强制撤离令之下的市政当局的撤离率。我们测试了人口统计学和健康因素（如某些慢性健康状况）与撤离之间的关联。
在受访者中，12.7%（95%置信区间：11.8%-13.6%）报告进行了撤离，相当于约88万成年人。在受严重影响的市政当局中，17.0%（95%置信区间：15.2%-18.7%）进行了撤离，而在受影响较小的市政当局中这一比例为10.1%（95%置信区间：9.0%-11.2%）。在处于强制撤离令之下的市政当局中，42.5%（95%置信区间：35.1%-49.8%）进行了撤离，相比之下，未处于强制命令之下的市政当局这一比例为11.8%（95%置信区间：10.9%-12.9%）。女性（优势比[OR]：1.36；95%置信区间：1.14-1.64）、未婚状态（OR：1.22；95%置信区间：1.02-1.46）、居住时间较短（OR：1.28；95%置信区间：1.03-1.60）以及居住在受严重影响的市政当局（OR：1.84；95%置信区间：1.54-2.20）与撤离显著相关。中风病史（OR：1.61；95%置信区间：1.02-2.53）是与撤离相关的唯一慢性病况。
约88万新泽西州成年人因桑迪飓风而撤离。那些在受严重影响的市政当局以及处于强制撤离令之下的市政当局中有更高的撤离率；然而，仍不到一半的人进行了撤离。这些发现可用于未来的灾难规划。（《灾难医学与公共卫生防范》。2017年；11：720-728）
