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动脉瘤性蛛网膜下腔出血发病率和死亡率的月度变化:与天气和污染的相关性。

Monthly variations in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage incidence and mortality: Correlation with weather and pollution.

作者信息

Han Myung-Hoon, Kim Jinhee, Choi Kyu-Sun, Kim Choong Hyun, Kim Jae Min, Cheong Jin Hwan, Yi Hyeong-Joong, Lee Seon Heui

机构信息

Department of Neurosurgery, Hanyang University Guri Hospital, Gyeongchun-ro, Guri, Gyonggi-do, Korea.

Department of Nursing, College of Medicine, Chosun University, Gwangju, Korea.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2017 Oct 26;12(10):e0186973. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0186973. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Although the effect of weather and air pollution on the occurrence of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) has been investigated, results have remained inconsistent. The present study aimed to determine the seasonality of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage occurrence and mortality.

METHODS

We used the National Inpatient Sample database to evaluate the effect of meteorological factors and air pollutants on patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage in Korea between 2011 and 2014. Monthly variations in SAH occurrence and mortality were analyzed using locally weighted scatter plot smoothing curves. Multivariate Poisson generalized linear regression models were used to evaluate potential independent meteorological and pollutant variables associated with SAH occurrence and mortality.

RESULTS

In total, 21,407 patients who underwent clip or coil treatment owing to aneurysmal SAH in Korea from January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2014, were included. The crude incidence rate of SAH in Korea was 10.5 per 100,000 people per year. An approximately 0.5% lower risk of SAH was observed per 1°C increase in mean monthly temperature (relative risk, 0.995; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.992-0.997; p < 0.001), while an approximately 2.3% higher risk of SAH was observed per 1°C increase in mean monthly diurnal temperature.

CONCLUSIONS

We showed distinct patterns of seasonal and monthly variation in the occurrence and mortality of SAH. Our findings suggest that meteorological factors may play an important role in monthly variations in the occurrence of aneurysmal SAH.

摘要

背景与目的

尽管已对天气和空气污染对蛛网膜下腔出血(SAH)发生的影响进行了研究,但结果仍不一致。本研究旨在确定动脉瘤性蛛网膜下腔出血发生和死亡率的季节性。

方法

我们使用国家住院样本数据库评估2011年至2014年期间韩国气象因素和空气污染物对蛛网膜下腔出血患者的影响。使用局部加权散点图平滑曲线分析SAH发生和死亡率的月度变化。多变量泊松广义线性回归模型用于评估与SAH发生和死亡率相关的潜在独立气象和污染物变量。

结果

总共纳入了2011年1月1日至2014年12月31日期间在韩国因动脉瘤性SAH接受夹闭或栓塞治疗的21407例患者。韩国SAH的粗发病率为每年每10万人中有10.5例。平均每月气温每升高1°C,SAH风险降低约0.5%(相对风险,0.995;95%置信区间[CI],0.992 - 0.997;p < 0.001),而平均每月昼夜温差每升高1°C,SAH风险升高约2.3%。

结论

我们展示了SAH发生和死亡率的明显季节性和月度变化模式。我们的研究结果表明,气象因素可能在动脉瘤性SAH发生的月度变化中起重要作用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/755e/5658131/535e6fdf8ea1/pone.0186973.g001.jpg

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