Mireille Gomes is a scientist at the Centre for Global Health Research, St. Michael's Hospital and University of Toronto, in Ontario.
Rehana Begum is director of operations at the Centre for Global Health Research, St. Michael's Hospital and University of Toronto.
Health Aff (Millwood). 2017 Nov;36(11):1887-1895. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2017.0635.
Progress toward the United Nations 2030 Sustainable Development Goals requires improved information on mortality and causes of death. However, causes of many of the fifty million annual deaths in low- and middle-income countries remain unknown, as most of the deaths occur at home without medical attention. In 2001 India began the Million Death Study in 1.3 million nationally representative households. Nonmedical staff conduct verbal autopsies, which are structured interviews including a half-page narrative in local language of the family's story of the symptoms and events leading to death. Two physicians independently assess each death to arrive at an underlying cause of death. The study has thus far yielded information that substantially altered previous estimates of cause-specific mortality and risk factors in India. Similar robust studies are feasible at low cost in other low- and middle-income countries, particularly if they adopt electronic data management and ensure high quality of fieldwork and physician coding. Nationwide mortality studies enable the quantification of avoidable premature mortality and key risk factors for disease, and provide a practicable method to monitor progress toward the Sustainable Development Goals.
实现联合国 2030 可持续发展目标需要更好地了解死亡率和死亡原因。然而,在中低收入国家,每年有 5000 万人死亡,其中大多数人在家中死亡,没有得到医疗关注,因此许多人的死因仍然未知。2001 年,印度在全国范围内具有代表性的 130 万户家庭中开展了“百万死亡研究”。非医务人员进行口头尸检,即对家庭的症状和导致死亡的事件进行半页篇幅的当地语言叙述的结构化访谈。两名医生独立评估每一例死亡,以确定死亡的根本原因。迄今为止,该研究提供的信息大大改变了之前对印度特定病因死亡率和风险因素的估计。如果其他中低收入国家采用电子数据管理并确保高质量的实地工作和医生编码,那么类似的稳健研究可以以较低的成本进行,特别是在这些国家。全国性的死亡率研究可以量化可避免的过早死亡和疾病的主要风险因素,并为监测可持续发展目标的进展提供切实可行的方法。