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全国 274 家医院快速反应团队呼叫后院内死亡率的预测因素。

Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality After Rapid Response Team Calls in a 274 Hospital Nationwide Sample.

机构信息

All authors: Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL.

出版信息

Crit Care Med. 2018 Jul;46(7):1041-1048. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000002926.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Despite wide adoption of rapid response teams across the United States, predictors of in-hospital mortality for patients receiving rapid response team calls are poorly characterized. Identification of patients at high risk of death during hospitalization could improve triage to intensive care units and prompt timely reevaluations of goals of care. We sought to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients who are subjects of rapid response team calls and to develop and validate a predictive model for death after rapid response team call.

DESIGN

Analysis of data from the national Get with the Guidelines-Medical Emergency Team event registry.

SETTING

Two-hundred seventy four hospitals participating in Get with the Guidelines-Medical Emergency Team from June 2005 to February 2015.

PATIENTS

282,710 hospitalized adults on surgical or medical wards who were subjects of a rapid response team call.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The primary outcome was death during hospitalization; candidate predictors included patient demographic- and event-level characteristics. Patients who died after rapid response team were older (median age 72 vs 66 yr), were more likely to be admitted for noncardiac medical illness (70% vs 58%), and had greater median length of stay prior to rapid response team (81 vs 47 hr) (p < 0.001 for all comparisons). The prediction model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.78-0.79), with systolic blood pressure, time since admission, and respiratory rate being the most important variables.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients who die following rapid response team calls differ significantly from surviving peers. Recognition of these factors could improve postrapid response team triage decisions and prompt timely goals of care discussions.

摘要

目的

尽管美国广泛采用了快速反应团队,但对于接受快速反应团队呼叫的患者的院内死亡率预测指标仍描述不足。识别住院期间死亡风险较高的患者可以改善向重症监护病房的分诊,并及时重新评估患者的治疗目标。我们旨在确定接受快速反应团队呼叫的患者的院内死亡率预测指标,并开发和验证快速反应团队呼叫后死亡的预测模型。

设计

对来自全国 Get with the Guidelines-Medical Emergency Team 事件注册中心的数据进行分析。

设置

2005 年 6 月至 2015 年 2 月期间,274 家参与 Get with the Guidelines-Medical Emergency Team 的医院。

患者

282710 名在外科或内科病房住院的成年患者,他们是快速反应团队呼叫的对象。

干预措施

无。

测量和主要结果

主要结局是住院期间死亡;候选预测指标包括患者的人口统计学和事件水平特征。快速反应团队呼叫后死亡的患者年龄更大(中位数 72 岁 vs 66 岁),更有可能因非心脏内科疾病入院(70% vs 58%),且在快速反应团队呼叫前的中位住院时间更长(81 小时 vs 47 小时)(所有比较均 p < 0.001)。预测模型的接受者操作特征曲线下面积为 0.78(95%置信区间,0.78-0.79),收缩压、入院时间和呼吸频率是最重要的变量。

结论

快速反应团队呼叫后死亡的患者与存活的患者有明显差异。认识到这些因素可以改善快速反应团队呼叫后的分诊决策,并及时进行治疗目标讨论。

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