Center for Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Clinical Research, Tohoku University Graduate School of Dentistry, Aoba-ku, Sendai, Japan.
Department of International and Community Oral Health, Tohoku University Graduate School of Dentistry, Aoba-ku, Sendai, Japan.
Gerontology. 2018;64(3):266-277. doi: 10.1159/000485797. Epub 2018 Jan 18.
A rapidly ageing population presents major challenges to health and social care services. Cross-country comparative studies on survival among older adults are limited. In addition, Japan, the country with the longest life expectancy, is rarely included in these cross-country comparisons.
We examined the relative contributions of social and behavioural factors on the differences in survival among older people in Japan and England.
We used data from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study (JAGES; n = 13,176) and the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA; n = 5,551) to analyse all-cause mortality up to 9.4 years from the baseline. Applying Laplace regression models, the 15th survival percentile difference was estimated.
During the follow-up, 31.3% of women and 38.6% of men in the ELSA died, whereas 19.3% of women and 31.3% of men in the JAGES died. After adjusting for age and baseline health status, JAGES participants had longer survival than ELSA participants by 318.8 days for women and by 131.6 days for men. Family-based social relationships contributed to 105.4 days longer survival in JAGES than ELSA men. Fewer friendship-based social relationships shortened the JAGES men's survival by 45.4 days compared to ELSA men. Currently not being a smoker contributed to longer survival for JAGES women (197.7 days) and ELSA men (46.6 days), and having lower BMI reduced the survival of JAGES participants by 129.0 days for women and by 212.2 days for men.
Compared to participants in England, Japanese older people lived longer mainly because of non-smoking for women and family-based social relationships for men. In contrast, a lower rate of underweight, men's better friendship-based social relationships, and a lower smoking rate contributed to survival among participants in England.
人口老龄化给医疗保健服务带来了重大挑战。关于老年人生存的跨国比较研究有限。此外,作为预期寿命最长的国家,日本很少被纳入这些跨国比较。
我们研究了社会和行为因素对日本和英国老年人生存差异的相对贡献。
我们使用来自日本老年评估研究(JAGES;n=13176)和英国老龄化纵向研究(ELSA;n=5551)的数据,分析了从基线开始长达 9.4 年的全因死亡率。应用拉普拉斯回归模型,估计了第 15 个生存百分位差异。
在随访期间,ELSA 中的 31.3%的女性和 38.6%的男性死亡,而 JAGES 中的 19.3%的女性和 31.3%的男性死亡。在调整年龄和基线健康状况后,JAGES 参与者的女性生存时间比 ELSA 参与者长 318.8 天,男性长 131.6 天。基于家庭的社会关系使 JAGES 男性的生存时间比 ELSA 男性长 105.4 天。较少的基于友谊的社会关系使 JAGES 男性的生存时间比 ELSA 男性短 45.4 天。目前不吸烟使 JAGES 女性(197.7 天)和 ELSA 男性(46.6 天)的生存时间延长,而较低的 BMI 使 JAGES 参与者中女性的生存时间减少 129.0 天,男性减少 212.2 天。
与英国参与者相比,日本老年人的寿命更长,主要是因为女性不吸烟,男性基于家庭的社会关系。相比之下,英国参与者的体重不足率较低、男性基于友谊的社会关系较好、吸烟率较低,有助于延长他们的寿命。