Oskorouchi Hamid Reza, Nie Peng, Sousa-Poza Alfonso
Institute for Health Care & Public Management, University of Hohenheim, Fruwirthstr. 48, Kavalierhaus 4, 70599 Stuttgart, Germany.
Department of Economics and Management, University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
PLoS One. 2018 Feb 9;13(2):e0191726. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0191726. eCollection 2018.
This study uses biomarker information from the 2013 National Nutrition Survey Afghanistan and satellite precipitation driven modeling results from the Global Flood Monitoring System to analyze how floods affect the probability of anemia in Afghan women of reproductive age (15-49). In addition to establishing a causal relation between the two by exploiting the quasi-random variation of floods in different districts and periods, the analysis demonstrates that floods have a significant positive effect on the probability of anemia through two possible transmission mechanisms. The first is a significant effect on inflammation, probably related to water borne diseases carried by unsafe drinking water, and the second is a significant negative effect on retinol concentrations. Because the effect of floods on anemia remains significant even after we control for anemia's most common causes, we argue that the condition may also be affected by elevated levels of psychological stress.
本研究利用2013年阿富汗全国营养调查中的生物标志物信息以及全球洪水监测系统中由卫星降水驱动的建模结果,来分析洪水如何影响阿富汗育龄妇女(15至49岁)患贫血症的概率。除了通过利用不同地区和时期洪水的准随机变化来建立两者之间的因果关系外,分析还表明,洪水通过两种可能的传播机制对贫血概率产生显著的正向影响。第一种是对炎症有显著影响,这可能与不安全饮用水携带的水传播疾病有关,第二种是对视黄醇浓度有显著负面影响。由于即使在我们控制了贫血最常见的病因之后,洪水对贫血的影响仍然显著,我们认为这种情况也可能受到心理压力水平升高的影响。