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老年人与热浪相关的住院医疗诊断。

Medical diagnoses of heat wave-related hospital admissions in older adults.

机构信息

Alabama College of Osteopathic Medicine, 445 Health Sciences Blvd, Dothan, AL 36303, United States.

Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, United States.

出版信息

Prev Med. 2018 May;110:81-85. doi: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2018.02.001. Epub 2018 Feb 8.

Abstract

Heat waves have been associated with adverse human health effects, including higher rates of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, and these health effects may be exacerbated under continued climate change. However, specific causes of hospitalizations associated with heat waves have not been characterized on a national scale. We systematically estimated the risks of cause-specific hospitalizations during heat waves in a national cohort of 23.7 million Medicare enrollees residing in 1943 U.S. counties during 1999-2010. Heat waves were defined as ≥2 consecutive days exceeding the county's 99th percentile of daily temperatures, and were matched to non-heat wave periods by county and week. We considered 50 outcomes from broad disease groups previously associated with heat wave-related hospitalizations, and estimated cause-specific relative risks (RRs) of hospital admissions on heat wave days. We identified 11 diagnoses with a higher admission risk on heat wave days, with heat stroke and sunstroke having the highest risk (RR = 22.5, [95% CI 14.9-34.2]). Other diseases with elevated risks included fluid and electrolyte disorders [(Hyperosmolality RR = 1.4, [95% CI 1.1-1.3]; Hypoosmolaltiy RR = 1.2, [95% CI 1.1-1.3])] and acute kidney failure (RR = 1.1, [95% CI 1.1-1.2]). These risks tended to be higher under more severe heat wave events. In addition, risks were higher among adults in the oldest (≥85) category (reference: 65-74) for volume depletion and heat exhaustion. Several causes of hospitalization identified are preventable, and public health interventions, including early warning systems and plans targeting risk factors for these illnesses, could reduce adverse effects of heat in the present and under climate change.

摘要

热浪与不良人类健康影响有关,包括全因死亡率和心血管死亡率的上升,而在持续的气候变化下,这些健康影响可能会加剧。然而,热浪相关住院的具体原因在全国范围内尚未得到明确。我们系统地评估了在 1999 年至 2010 年间居住在美国 1943 个县的 2370 万医疗保险参保者的全国队列中,与热浪相关的特定病因住院的风险。热浪被定义为连续两天超过该县每日温度的第 99 百分位,并且通过县和周与非热浪期相匹配。我们考虑了之前与热浪相关住院有关的广泛疾病组的 50 种结果,并估计了热浪天住院的特定病因相对风险 (RR)。我们确定了 11 种诊断在热浪天住院风险较高,其中中暑和日射病风险最高 (RR=22.5,[95%CI 14.9-34.2])。其他风险较高的疾病包括液体和电解质紊乱 [(高渗血症 RR=1.4,[95%CI 1.1-1.3];低渗血症 RR=1.2,[95%CI 1.1-1.3])] 和急性肾衰竭 (RR=1.1,[95%CI 1.1-1.2])。在更严重的热浪事件中,这些风险往往更高。此外,在最年长 (≥85) 类别 (参考:65-74) 的成年人中,由于容量消耗和热衰竭,风险更高。确定的几种住院原因是可预防的,公共卫生干预措施,包括早期预警系统和针对这些疾病危险因素的计划,可能会减少当前和气候变化下热浪的不利影响。

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