Liu Jianzheng, Li Weifeng, Wu Jiansheng, Liu Yonghong
Department of Urban Planning and Design, Faculty of Architecture, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Shenzhen Institute of Research and Innovation, The University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China.
PLoS One. 2018 Feb 13;13(2):e0192614. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0192614. eCollection 2018.
The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area faces a severe fine particulate matter (PM2.5) problem. To date, considerable progress has been made toward understanding the PM2.5 problem, including spatial-temporal characterization, driving factors, and health effects. However, little research has been done on the dynamic interactions and relationships between PM2.5 concentrations in different cities in this area. To address the research gap, this study discovered a phenomenon of time-lagged intercity correlations of PM2.5 time series and proposed a visualization framework based on this phenomenon to visualize the interaction in PM2.5 concentrations between cities. The visualizations produced using the framework show that there are significant time-lagged correlations between the PM2.5 time series in different cities in this area. The visualizations also show that the correlations are more significant in colder months and between cities that are closer, and that there are seasonal changes in the temporal order of the correlated PM2.5 time series. Further analysis suggests that the time-lagged intercity correlations of PM2.5 time series are most likely due to synoptic meteorological variations. We argue that the visualizations demonstrate the interactions of air pollution between cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area and the significant effect of synoptic meteorological conditions on PM2.5 pollution. The visualization framework could help determine the pathway of regional transportation of air pollution and may also be useful in delineating the area of interaction of PM2.5 pollution for impact analysis.
京津冀地区面临着严峻的细颗粒物(PM2.5)问题。迄今为止,在了解PM2.5问题方面已取得了相当大的进展,包括时空特征、驱动因素和健康影响。然而,关于该地区不同城市PM2.5浓度之间的动态相互作用和关系的研究却很少。为了填补这一研究空白,本研究发现了PM2.5时间序列的城市间时间滞后相关性现象,并基于此现象提出了一个可视化框架,以可视化城市间PM2.5浓度的相互作用。使用该框架生成的可视化结果表明,该地区不同城市的PM2.5时间序列之间存在显著的时间滞后相关性。可视化结果还表明,这种相关性在较冷的月份以及距离较近的城市之间更为显著,并且相关的PM2.5时间序列的时间顺序存在季节性变化。进一步分析表明,PM2.5时间序列的城市间时间滞后相关性很可能是由于天气气象变化所致。我们认为,这些可视化结果展示了京津冀地区城市间空气污染的相互作用以及天气气象条件对PM2.5污染的显著影响。该可视化框架有助于确定空气污染的区域传输路径,也可能有助于划定PM2.5污染的相互作用区域以进行影响分析。