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印度的可持续粮食安全——国内生产和主要营养素供应。

Sustainable food security in India-Domestic production and macronutrient availability.

机构信息

School of Geosciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.

Moray House School of Education, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2018 Mar 23;13(3):e0193766. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0193766. eCollection 2018.

Abstract

India has been perceived as a development enigma: Recent rates of economic growth have not been matched by similar rates in health and nutritional improvements. To meet the second Sustainable Development Goal (SDG2) of achieving zero hunger by 2030, India faces a substantial challenge in meeting basic nutritional needs in addition to addressing population, environmental and dietary pressures. Here we have mapped-for the first time-the Indian food system from crop production to household-level availability across three key macronutrients categories of 'calories', 'digestible protein' and 'fat'. To better understand the potential of reduced food chain losses and improved crop yields to close future food deficits, scenario analysis was conducted to 2030 and 2050. Under India's current self-sufficiency model, our analysis indicates severe shortfalls in availability of all macronutrients across a large proportion (>60%) of the Indian population. The extent of projected shortfalls continues to grow such that, even in ambitious waste reduction and yield scenarios, enhanced domestic production alone will be inadequate in closing the nutrition supply gap. We suggest that to meet SDG2 India will need to take a combined approach of optimising domestic production and increasing its participation in global trade.

摘要

印度一直被视为发展之谜

近年来经济增长率虽然很高,但在健康和营养改善方面却没有相应的提高。为了实现到 2030 年零饥饿的可持续发展目标 2,印度除了要应对人口、环境和饮食压力之外,还面临着满足基本营养需求的巨大挑战。在这里,我们首次绘制了印度食物系统的图谱,从作物生产到家庭层面的三种主要宏量营养素(卡路里、可消化蛋白质和脂肪)的供应情况。为了更好地了解减少食物链损失和提高作物产量以弥补未来粮食短缺的潜力,我们对 2030 年和 2050 年进行了情景分析。在印度目前的自给自足模式下,我们的分析表明,在印度很大一部分(超过 60%)人口中,所有宏量营养素的供应都严重短缺。预计的短缺程度仍在继续增加,因此,即使在减少浪费和提高产量的大胆设想下,仅增加国内产量也不足以弥补营养供应缺口。我们建议,为了实现可持续发展目标 2,印度需要采取优化国内生产和增加其在全球贸易中参与度的综合方法。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8651/5865708/e7265d27033b/pone.0193766.g001.jpg

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