Division for Epidemiology of Communicable Diseases,Croatian Institute of Public Health,Zagreb,Croatia.
Department of Public Health Gerontology,Andrija Stampar Teaching Institute of Public Health,Zagreb,Croatia.
Epidemiol Infect. 2018 Jul;146(10):1236-1239. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818001231. Epub 2018 May 16.
In 2017 Zagreb faced the largest outbreak of haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) to date. We investigated to describe the extent of the outbreak and identify risk factors for infection. We compared laboratory-confirmed cases of Hantavirus infection in Zagreb residents with the onset of illness after 1 January 2017, with individually matched controls from the same household or neighbourhood. We calculated adjusted matched odds ratios (amOR) using conditional logistic regression. During 2017, 104 cases were reported: 11-81 years old (median 37) and 71% (73) male. Compared with 104 controls, cases were more likely to report visiting Mount Medvednica (amOR 60, 95% CI 6-597), visiting a forest (amOR 46, 95% CI 4.7-450) and observing rodents (amOR 20, 95% CI 2.6-159). Seventy per cent of cases (73/104) had visited Mount Medvednica prior to infection. Among participants who had visited Mount Medvednica, cases were more likely to have drunk water from a spring (amOR 22, 95% CI 1.9-265), observed rodents (amOR 17, 95% CI 2-144), picked flowers (amOR 15, 95% CI 1.2-182) or cycled (amOR 14, 95% CI 1.6-135). Our study indicated that recreational activity around Mount Medvednica was associated with HFRS. We recommend enhanced surveillance of the recreational areas during an outbreak.
2017 年,萨格勒布市爆发了迄今为止最大规模的肾综合征出血热(HFRS)疫情。本研究旨在描述疫情的严重程度,并确定感染的危险因素。我们将在 2017 年 1 月 1 日后发病的萨格勒布居民的汉坦病毒感染确诊病例与同一家庭或社区的个体匹配对照进行比较。采用条件逻辑回归计算调整后的匹配比值比(amOR)。2017 年共报告了 104 例病例:年龄 11-81 岁(中位数 37 岁),男性占 71%(73 例)。与 104 例对照相比,病例更有可能报告去过梅德韦德尼察山(amOR 60,95%CI 6-597)、去过森林(amOR 46,95%CI 4.7-450)和观察过啮齿动物(amOR 20,95%CI 2.6-159)。70%(73/104)的病例在感染前曾去过梅德韦德尼察山。在去过梅德韦德尼察山的参与者中,病例更有可能饮用泉水(amOR 22,95%CI 1.9-265)、观察过啮齿动物(amOR 17,95%CI 2-144)、采过花(amOR 15,95%CI 1.2-182)或骑自行车(amOR 14,95%CI 1.6-135)。本研究表明,在梅德韦德尼察山周围的娱乐活动与 HFRS 有关。我们建议在疫情爆发期间加强对娱乐区的监测。