Department of Global Public Health and Primary Care, University of Bergen, Postboks 7804, N-5018, Bergen, Norway.
Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Int J Equity Health. 2018 May 24;17(1):64. doi: 10.1186/s12939-018-0771-7.
This study aims at quantifying the level and changes over time of inequality in age-specific mortality and life expectancy between the 19 Norwegian counties from 1980 to 2014.
Data on population and mortality by county was obtained from Statistics Norway for 1980-2014. Life expectancy and age-specific mortality rates (0-4, 5-49 and 50-69 age groups) were estimated by year and county. Geographic inequality was described by the absolute Gini index annually.
Life expectancy in Norway has increased from 75.6 to 82.0 years, and the risk of death before the age of 70 has decreased from 26 to 14% from 1980 to 2014. The absolute Gini index decreased over the period 1980 to 2014 from 0.43 to 0.32 for life expectancy, from 0.012 to 0.0057 for the age group 50-69 years, from 0.0038 to 0.0022 for the age group 5-49 years, and from 0.0009 to 0.0006 for the age group 0-4 years. It will take between 2 and 32 years (national average 7 years) until the counties catch up with the life expectancy in the best performing county if their annual rates of increase remain unchanged.
Using the absolute Gini index as a metric for monitoring changes in geographic inequality over time may be a valuable tool for informing public health policies. The absolute inequality in mortality and life expectancy between Norwegian counties has decreased from 1980 to 2014.
本研究旨在量化 1980 年至 2014 年期间,19 个挪威郡之间特定年龄死亡率和预期寿命的不平等程度及其随时间的变化。
本研究从挪威统计局获得了 1980 年至 2014 年的人口和死亡率数据。根据年份和郡,估算了预期寿命和特定年龄死亡率(0-4 岁、5-49 岁和 50-69 岁年龄组)。每年通过绝对基尼指数来描述地理不平等程度。
挪威的预期寿命从 75.6 岁增加到 82.0 岁,1980 年至 2014 年,70 岁以下人群的死亡风险从 26%下降到 14%。1980 年至 2014 年期间,绝对基尼指数从预期寿命的 0.43 降至 0.32,50-69 岁年龄组从 0.012 降至 0.0057,5-49 岁年龄组从 0.0038 降至 0.0022,0-4 岁年龄组从 0.0009 降至 0.0006。如果各县的年增长率保持不变,那么它们需要 2 到 32 年(全国平均 7 年)才能赶上表现最好的郡的预期寿命。
使用绝对基尼指数作为监测随时间变化的地理不平等变化的指标,可能是为公共卫生政策提供信息的一个有价值的工具。1980 年至 2014 年期间,挪威郡之间的死亡率和预期寿命的绝对不平等程度有所下降。