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不同的潜在类别模型被用于评估空肠弯曲菌诊断试验的准确性:克服不完美的参考标准?

Different latent class models were used and evaluated for assessing the accuracy of campylobacter diagnostic tests: overcoming imperfect reference standards?

机构信息

Bordeaux University Hospital,Public Health Department, Clinical Epidemiology Unit,F-33076 Bordeaux,France.

French National Reference Center for Campylobacter and Helicobacter,F-33076 Bordeaux,France.

出版信息

Epidemiol Infect. 2018 Sep;146(12):1556-1564. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818001723. Epub 2018 Jun 27.

DOI:10.1017/S0950268818001723
PMID:29945689
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6090718/
Abstract

In the absence of perfect reference standard, classical techniques result in biased diagnostic accuracy and prevalence estimates. By statistically defining the true disease status, latent class models (LCM) constitute a promising alternative. However, LCM is a complex method which relies on parametric assumptions, including usually a conditional independence between tests and might suffer from data sparseness. We carefully applied LCMs to assess new campylobacter infection detection tests for which bacteriological culture is an imperfect reference standard. Five diagnostic tests (culture, polymerase chain reaction and three immunoenzymatic tests) of campylobacter infection were collected in 623 patients from Bordeaux and Lyon Hospitals, France. Their diagnostic accuracy were estimated with standard and extended LCMs with a thorough examination of models goodness-of-fit. The model including a residual dependence specific to the immunoenzymatic tests best complied with LCM assumptions. Asymptotic results of goodness-of-fit statistics were substantially impaired by data sparseness and empirical distributions were preferred. Results confirmed moderate sensitivity of the culture and high performances of immunoenzymatic tests. LCMs can be used to estimate diagnostic tests accuracy in the absence of perfect reference standard. However, their implementation and assessment require specific attention due to data sparseness and limitations of existing software.

摘要

在缺乏完美参考标准的情况下,经典技术会导致诊断准确性和患病率估计存在偏差。通过统计定义真正的疾病状态,潜在类别模型(LCM)构成了一种有前途的替代方法。然而,LCM 是一种复杂的方法,它依赖于参数假设,通常包括测试之间的条件独立性,并且可能受到数据稀疏的影响。我们仔细应用 LCM 来评估新的弯曲杆菌感染检测测试,细菌培养是其不完善的参考标准。在法国波尔多和里昂医院的 623 名患者中收集了五种弯曲杆菌感染的诊断测试(培养、聚合酶链反应和三种免疫酶测试)。我们使用标准和扩展 LCM 对其诊断准确性进行了评估,并对模型拟合优度进行了彻底检查。包括针对免疫酶测试的特定剩余依赖性的模型最符合 LCM 假设。拟合优度统计量的渐近结果受到数据稀疏性的严重影响,因此更倾向于使用经验分布。结果证实了培养的中等敏感性和免疫酶测试的高性能。在缺乏完美参考标准的情况下,LCM 可用于估计诊断测试的准确性。然而,由于数据稀疏性和现有软件的局限性,它们的实施和评估需要特别注意。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/982d/9507941/819ddb2c3013/S0950268818001723_fig3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/982d/9507941/aef29d0aa758/S0950268818001723_fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/982d/9507941/6dfe6f9029b1/S0950268818001723_fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/982d/9507941/819ddb2c3013/S0950268818001723_fig3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/982d/9507941/aef29d0aa758/S0950268818001723_fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/982d/9507941/6dfe6f9029b1/S0950268818001723_fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/982d/9507941/819ddb2c3013/S0950268818001723_fig3.jpg

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