Centro de Tecnología Biomédica, Universidad Politéctica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain.
Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Lisboa, Portugal.
Sci Rep. 2018 Aug 10;8(1):11980. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-30472-z.
Functional complex networks have meant a pivotal change in the way we understand complex systems, being the most outstanding one the human brain. These networks have classically been reconstructed using a frequentist approach that, while simple, completely disregards the uncertainty that derives from data finiteness. We provide here an alternative solution based on Bayesian inference, with link weights treated as random variables described by probability distributions, from which ensembles of networks are sampled. By using both statistical and topological considerations, we prove that the role played by links' uncertainty is equivalent to the introduction of a random rewiring, whose omission leads to a consistent overestimation of topological structures. We further show that this bias is enhanced in short time series, suggesting the existence of a theoretical time resolution limit for obtaining reliable structures. We also propose a simple sampling process for correcting topological values obtained in frequentist networks. We finally validate these concepts through synthetic and real network examples, the latter representing the brain electrical activity of a group of people during a cognitive task.
功能复杂网络意味着我们理解复杂系统方式的重大转变,其中最突出的是人类大脑。这些网络传统上是使用频率主义方法重建的,虽然简单,但完全忽略了数据有限性带来的不确定性。我们在这里提供了一种基于贝叶斯推断的替代解决方案,将连接权重视为由概率分布描述的随机变量,从中抽样得到网络的集合。通过使用统计和拓扑考虑,我们证明了连接不确定性所扮演的角色相当于引入了随机重连,忽略它会导致对拓扑结构的一致高估。我们进一步表明,这种偏差在短时间序列中增强,这表明在获得可靠结构时存在理论时间分辨率限制。我们还提出了一种简单的抽样过程来纠正在频率网络中获得的拓扑值。我们最后通过合成和真实网络示例验证了这些概念,后者代表了一群人在认知任务期间的大脑电活动。