School of Natural Sciences, University of Tasmania, Private Bag 55, Hobart, TAS, 7001, Australia.
Instituto de Geografía, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso, Av. Brasil, 2241, Valparaíso, Chile.
Ambio. 2019 Apr;48(4):350-362. doi: 10.1007/s13280-018-1084-1. Epub 2018 Aug 20.
In January 2017, hundreds of fires in Mediterranean Chile burnt more than 5000 km, an area nearly 14 times the 40-year mean. We contextualize these fires in terms of estimates of global fire intensity using MODIS satellite record, and provide an overview of the climatic factors and recent changes in land use that led to the active fire season and estimate the impact of fire emissions to human health. The primary fire activity in late January coincided with extreme fire weather conditions including all-time (1979-2017) daily records for the Fire Weather Index (FWI) and maximum temperature, producing some of the most energetically intense fire events on Earth in the last 15-years. Fire activity was further enabled by a warm moist growing season in 2016 that interrupted an intense drought that started in 2010. The land cover in this region had been extensively modified, with less than 20% of the original native vegetation remaining, and extensive plantations of highly flammable exotic Pinus and Eucalyptus species established since the 1970s. These plantations were disproportionally burnt (44% of the burned area) in 2017, and associated with the highest fire severities, as part of an increasing trend of fire extent in plantations over the past three decades. Smoke from the fires exposed over 9.5 million people to increased concentrations of particulate air pollution, causing an estimated 76 premature deaths and 209 additional admissions to hospital for respiratory and cardiovascular conditions. This study highlights that Mediterranean biogeographic regions with expansive Pinus and Eucalyptus plantations and associated rural depopulation are vulnerable to intense wildfires with wide ranging social, economic, and environmental impacts, which are likely to become more frequent due to longer and more extreme wildfire seasons.
2017 年 1 月,智利地中海地区发生了数百起火灾,过火面积超过 5000 平方公里,是 40 年平均水平的近 14 倍。我们根据 MODIS 卫星记录估算的全球火灾强度,对这些火灾进行了分析,并概述了导致活跃火灾季节的气候因素和近期土地利用变化,估算了火灾排放对人类健康的影响。1 月底的主要火灾活动与极端火灾天气条件同时发生,包括火灾气象指数(FWI)和最高温度的历史记录,在过去 15 年中产生了地球上一些能量最强烈的火灾事件。火灾活动还得益于 2016 年温暖湿润的生长季节,中断了始于 2010 年的强烈干旱。该地区的土地覆盖已被广泛改变,原始本地植被的面积不到 20%,自 20 世纪 70 年代以来,建立了大量易燃的外来 Pinus 和 Eucalyptus 种植园。这些种植园在 2017 年的过火面积中占比不成比例(44%),与最高的火灾严重程度有关,这是过去三十年来种植园火灾面积不断增加的趋势的一部分。火灾产生的烟雾使超过 950 万人暴露在更高浓度的颗粒物空气污染中,估计有 76 人过早死亡,209 人因呼吸道和心血管疾病住院。本研究表明,拥有广阔的 Pinus 和 Eucalyptus 种植园和相关农村人口减少的地中海生物地理区域容易受到强度大、范围广的野火的影响,这些野火会产生广泛的社会、经济和环境影响,由于野火季节更长、更极端,这种情况可能会更加频繁。