KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Centre for Geographic Medicine Research Coast, P O Box 230, Kilifi, (80108), Kenya.
Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
BMC Psychiatry. 2018 Aug 29;18(1):267. doi: 10.1186/s12888-018-1855-z.
Suicide accounts for approximately 1.4% of deaths globally and is the 15th leading cause of death overall. There are no reliable data on the epidemiology of completed suicide in rural areas of many developing countries, yet suicide is an indicator of the sustainable development goals on health.
Using data collected between 2008 and 2016 from the Kilifi Health and Demographic Surveillance System in rural Kenya, we retrospectively determined the incidence rate and risk factors for completed suicide.
During the period, 104 people died by suicide, contributing to 0.78% (95% CI = 0.74-1.10) of all deaths. The mean annual incidence rate of suicide was 4.61 (95% CI = 3.80-5.58) per 100,000 person years of observation (pyo). The annual incidence rate for men was higher than that of women (IRR = 3.05, 95% CI = 1.98-4.70, p < 0.001) and it increased with age (IRR = 2.73, 95% CI = 2.30-3.24, p < 0.001). People aged > 64 years had the highest mean incidence rate of 18.58 (95% CI = 11.99-28.80) per 100,000 pyo. Completed suicide was associated with age, being male, and living in a house whose wall is made of scrap material, which is a proxy marker of extreme poverty in this region (OR = 5.5, 95% CI = 4.0-7.0, p = 0.02). Most cases (76%) completed suicide by hanging themselves. Spatial heterogeneity of rates of suicides was observed across the enumeration zones of the KHDSS.
Suicide is common in this area, but the incidence of completed suicide in rural Kenya may be an underestimate of the true burden. Like in other studies, suicide was associated with older age, being male and poverty, but other medical and neuropsychiatric risk factors should be investigated in future studies.
自杀约占全球死亡人数的 1.4%,是全球总体第 15 大死亡原因。在许多发展中国家的农村地区,关于自杀完成情况的流行病学尚无可靠数据,但自杀是健康可持续发展目标的一个指标。
我们使用 2008 年至 2016 年期间从肯尼亚农村基利菲健康和人口监测系统收集的数据,回顾性地确定了自杀完成的发生率和危险因素。
在此期间,有 104 人自杀身亡,占总死亡人数的 0.78%(95%CI=0.74-1.10)。自杀的年平均发生率为每 100000 人年观察 4.61 人(95%CI=3.80-5.58)。男性的年发生率高于女性(IRR=3.05,95%CI=1.98-4.70,p<0.001),且随年龄增长而增加(IRR=2.73,95%CI=2.30-3.24,p<0.001)。年龄>64 岁的人群的平均发生率最高,为每 100000 人年 18.58 人(95%CI=11.99-28.80)。自杀与年龄、男性和居住在由废料制成的房屋有关,这是该地区极度贫困的一个代理指标(OR=5.5,95%CI=4.0-7.0,p=0.02)。大多数(76%)自杀者选择上吊自杀。在 KHDSS 的普查区观察到自杀率的空间异质性。
在该地区,自杀较为常见,但肯尼亚农村地区自杀完成率可能低估了实际负担。与其他研究一样,自杀与年龄较大、男性和贫困有关,但未来的研究应调查其他医疗和神经精神危险因素。